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  "text": "朋友們,諾獎得主親口承認,AI走錯路了,他卻無能為力。\n哈薩比斯在最近的訪談說了一句很重的話,如果由他來做出,AI應該在實驗室多待10到20年。\n他不會急著賣錢,他會先多做幾個AlphaFold這樣的工具,說不定癌症都能被更早攻破下來。\n因為AlphaFold不是一個普通的工具,它推進的是整個人類做科研的速度。\n你身體裡面從一根頭髮到免疫系統,底層它都離不開蛋白質。\n而蛋白質的3D形狀只要折磋了一點,後面可能就是癌症、白血病、阿爾茲海默症。\n在過去的50年,人類也要搞清楚一個蛋白質的結構,再得花幾年時間幾十萬美金,還得靠X射線晶體學一點點上。\n而AlphaFold直接就把這件事情從幾年壓到了幾秒鐘。\n更狠的是,哈薩比斯還算過一比账,既然10秒鐘就能折一個蛋白質,那2億個蛋白質它一年就能全部算完。\n那為什麼不乾脆做成免費的數據庫,開放給全世界人用?\n而就這個拍腦袋的決定,後來讓全球的300萬科學家都在免費地用AlphaFold。\n幾十種相關藥物也已經進入了零床實驗。\n有一個製藥公司的科學家甚至說,再過幾年,我們真的有可能吃到第一批AI設計的藥。\n而現在我們面臨的問題是,ChatGPT一出來,整條路就一下子偏了。\n2022年11月30日,ChatGPT橫空出世,AI行業的重心一夜之間轉向了語言模型和消費級的產品。\n全行業都開始了大模型的群雄爭霸。\n谷歌也直接拉響了紅色情報。\n哈薩比斯也從一個專注做科學的實驗室負責人,變成了谷歌的AI掌舵者。\n他自己也坦白說,現在不是他想要的AI。\n他想要的是,像歐洲核子研究中心那樣,全球最頂尖的科學家一起合作,\n每走一步都把原理和後果講清楚,充分驗證。\n哪怕他會慢十年二十年,也比現在這種一路狂奔更穩。\n但現實由不得他。\n在資本和市場的裹挾下,現在的AI公司都在卷什麼?\n都在卷誰的模型更好,更快,卷誰的模型能幫老闆裁掉更多的人。\n就過2025年,科技行業的裁員超過了10萬,一半以上都跟AI有關。\n而今年以來,甲骨文宣布裁員3萬人,亞馬遜也宣布裁員1.6萬人。\n哈瑟比斯說,一個本來可以治癒癌症,發現新材料的工具,\n現在被迫先去幫企業降本增效了。\n現在整個AI行業都在走一條可能不是最優的路,\n而我們所有人都在為這條路買單。\n那另一條路是什麼?哈瑟比斯專門成立了一個AI的製藥公司。\n它想把原來需要10年研發,90%的失敗率,\n需要幾十億成本的藥物研發過程,用AI徹底重做一遍。\n而現在他們已經有了18-19個藥物項目正在推進,覆蓋了心臟病、癌症、免疫病這些最難治的病。\n而它領導的另一個項目,已經破解了人類基因密碼,能精準地定位致病突變。\n哈瑟比斯還說,在未來50年,AI很可能會幫我們實現可控的核聚變,治癒疾病,解決糧食和水資源的問題。\n不過,這一切的前提是AI必須要走到正確的路上。\n最後主持人問他,2016年,你板子上那張寫著,解決蛋白質折疊問題的便條還在嗎?\n現在你桌上寫的是什麼呢?\n哈瑟比斯胡笑著說,現在他的桌上貼滿了便條,差不多有上百張。\n而上面寫的就是今天晚上他必須要做完的30件事。\n一個純粹的科學家,他現在已經不能決定自己做什麼了。\n這個最懂AI應該往哪個方向走的人,他已經沒有權力決定AI的方向了。\n現在能決定AI方向的是資本和市場,\n但他們最關心的還是怎麼賺更多的錢。",
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      "text": "朋友們,諾獎得主親口承認,AI走錯路了,他卻無能為力。",
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      "text": "而AlphaFold直接就把這件事情從幾年壓到了幾秒鐘。",
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      "text": "那為什麼不乾脆做成免費的數據庫,開放給全世界人用?",
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      "text": "哪怕他會慢十年二十年,也比現在這種一路狂奔更穩。",
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      "text": "在資本和市場的裹挾下,現在的AI公司都在卷什麼?",
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      "text": "都在卷誰的模型更好,更快,卷誰的模型能幫老闆裁掉更多的人。",
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