{ "text": "美國跟日本聯手救市之後，其實一度有效果。但是立刻現在日圓又很疲弱了，又回到157以上了。當然現在大家都在說，為什麼美國要出手救日圓呢？原來就是，如果這個日圓再跌下去，政府就必須大舉拋售美國國債來換日圓。其實美國的內心是想要趁火打劫。好，另外外界有分析，日圓升息的話，就會失去套利工具的地位。\n那麼接下來就會變成美國的附庸\n來請教一下大師\n你怎麼樣看\n對，美國救，美國救日圓\n最主要就是他阻止\n就是說成功間接阻止\n就是說成功間接阻止日本用賣美債的方式來救日圓\n因為上一波日圓突破一比一百六十的時候\n日本政府花了七百四十億美元\n對，那這七百億就是賣美債\n所以美國現在最怕的\n就是人家賣美債\n因為美國自己本身的\n這個政府的債務有問題\n那賣美債就會變成怎麼樣\n美國殖利率升高\n這個殖利率升高以後\n這個殖利率升高以後，現在對現在美國自己已經欠了四十兆美金的這個美國政府的財政\n美金的這個美國政府的財政\n也會造成一個很大的刺激\n所以他們是要阻止日本賣美債\n所以他們是要阻止日本賣美債\n是讓日本在美國的美債\n拿出來做抵押品\n然後美國政府借錢給他\n而且借錢的時間很短\n就是短暫的\n那所以這個過程其實就是說\n要告訴這個\n所謂的可能像這樣\n這種所謂的\n匯率的這種操盤\n來狙擊日元的時候\n發覺這個問題\n沒有那麼簡單\n美國出手\n所以你做空日元的話\n你最後可能血本無歸\n那用這種方式\n事實上短暫的把日元拉回來\n從一百六十三\n一百六十四\n拉回到一百五十七\n一百五十五\n一百五十五\n所以他會短暫會有效果\n下一次美國可能也會出手\n可能又可以拉回來\n因為這個跟他跟日本的協議\n就是說你不要賣美元\n那不要賣美債\n不要賣美債\n那美國說\n那日本就說那怎麼辦\n那美國說我借錢給你\n你拿美債當抵押品\n我借錢給你\n所以這個模式可能會用一兩次\n可是隻能用一兩次\n接下來就沒效了\n因為他的問題是什麼\n日本日元如果不\n日元如果日本央行\n如果不加息的話\n這個利差就是日元最大的問題\n他跟美元之間的利差\n大概在三趴左右\n那很多日本人基本上就賣日元\n買美元\n對不對\n在日元在日本我這個舉債\n我只有一趴的債\n只有一趴的利息\n我拿到美國去領那個四趴的利息\n我就套利\n套利啊\n數目小不多\n我大筆的錢去套利\n那是也是很可觀的收入\n所以這個利差\n基本上不解決的話\n日元是不會有救的\n另外一方面\n就變成日本的經濟本體\n是這個國家的經濟\n是這個該國的經濟\n日本經濟一點起色都沒有\n一點起色都沒有\n而且所有日本的強項都沒有\n你現在要買電器用品\n你不是買韓國的\n就是買中國的\n日本的電器用品\n你還有嗎\n對不對\n不多啦\n只有臺灣有啊\n別的地方不多了\n看不到日本的\n以前我們小時候\n電冰箱洗衣機\n電視機全部是日本貨\n對不對\n通通是日本貨\n連連那個所有的\n這個這種時髦的電器產品\n都是日本貨\n沒了\n日本車現在怎麼講\n日本車今年中國大陸的汽車\n外銷在前半年\n已經超過七百萬輛\n日本去年全年才不過\n外銷了四百萬輛汽車\n所以汽車市場也沒了\n那你說新的產業\nAI有嗎\n沒有\n然後呢\n晶片有嗎\n沒有\n只有光刻膠\n對不對\n晶片還要我們臺積電去給他\n幫他扶持他\n對\n然後呢\n其他新能源有嗎\n沒有\n日本這個國家沒有\n他的產業的競爭力已經沒有了\n然後呢\n人口老化\n然後勞動力缺乏\n然後呢\n還有一個很大的因素\n又跟中國大陸交惡\n對 中國大陸就把你的這個\n觀光 工業生產 觀光\n是工業生產\n重要原料就被卡掉\n一卡以後\n現在日本很多工業產品\n做不出來\n包括汽車業都面臨危機\n所以日本的經濟的本體是\n看不出來起色的時候\n日圓只是說\n你可以用短暫的手段\n一些工具把它止跌\n對 可是長期趨勢\n很多人說年底搞不好還是一百七\n這個一關都守不住\n甚至還可能有更低\n那不過高斯找苗呢\n他唯一的解救方法\n第一個跟美國求救\n我說跟美國求救短期效果可能有\n可是長期 中長期不一樣\n第二個他說\n那我就把那個消費稅給取消\n那很多日本人就就說\n你現在說實話 政府已經\n這個已經財政困難了\n對不對 你還把一個重要的稅源\n把它怎麼樣 把它取消掉以後\n那日本老百姓 那些養老金 退休金\n那醫療補助 社會的這些教育資金\n不是都從哪裡來 越來越砍越少\n那老百姓怎麼講 老百姓生活越來越苦\n所以日本本來經濟狀況就是怎麼講\n就是已經是什麼\n已經是左支右支了\n再加上這個高市早苗\n拿不出辦法\n那靠美國\n那美國說實話可靠嗎\n所以日元是很不樂觀的\n好但是其實這個美國不希望日本賣美債是有效的\n但是接下來我們要來看到中國大陸\n倒是一路的減持美債\n因為中方已經拋售了6570億的美債了\n轉而購入3000多億的黃金\n好 為什麼會這個樣子呢\n中國的央行已經連續21個月都增持黃金了\n而且規模是逐月擴大\n原因有三個 地緣風險\n再來美債本身的風險也往上升\n還有就是黃金的獨特性\n當然世界黃金協會也預測了\n未來全球官方黃金儲備還是會持續的增加\n包含二零二六第二季度\n全球央行\n還有其他的官方機構\n購金就達到了兩百八十九頓\n來請教一下大使怎麼看\n對 中國大陸事實上過去最高所成\n美 美債的這個持有率是上兆美金\n對 那這兩年就是不斷的減持\n不斷的減持\n從這個八千億到七千億\n現在已經降到七千以下了\n那我覺得他還會繼續去減持\n因為事實上中國大陸一方面\n也在推動這個所謂本幣交易\n所以他這個作為第一個貿易大國\n他手上美金的數量\n可能已經不需要那麼大的\n因為美金還是一個主要的交易的\n一個工具\n在國際貿易上\n所以對中國大陸來講\n他手上還是一定要持有相當數目的美金\n那可是在這個\n就是在川普時代的話\n美國有一些國有一些鷹派\n對中鷹派的人\n居然曾經講過一些話\n他說中國大陸用不公平的方式\n跟我們貿易\n讓我們造成那麼大的貿易逆差\n我們有一個辦法可以治中國大陸\n就是把中國大陸的美債\n全部沒收 扣住\n沒收 意思就是說\n我欠你一兆\n對不對 你買了我一兆\n你把一兆放在我這邊\n那我認為你因為貿易跟我不公平\n我這一兆我沒收了\n如果他沒有貴金屬 作為他的這個\n所以锚定他的貨幣\n對一個什麼 保證\n事實上也是比較脆弱\n所以我覺得中國大陸\n現在就變成就是說\n第一個美金的用途\n對他來講\n已經沒有那個需要\n所以他慢慢再來轉\n而且這個世界\n地緣政治越來越失控\n那你不得不考慮\n有的時候跟美國的關係\n做最壞的打算的話\n就是說你要避免他將來對你經濟資產產生的效果的話\n那就是自己本身有決定自己貨幣的這種工具\n另外一方面對美元的這個依賴\n美金的資產\n那其實是你跟美國在這個進行這個對抗的時候一個弱點\n那就把這些資產慢慢慢慢的把它換成其他的這些工具\n來保值\n而且來做這種準備 暫時的準備\n所以我覺得這個都是慢慢在做的\n那當然這也是跟美國一個籌碼\n我覺得中國大國也不會完全拋光\n因為拿個五千億的話\n說實話\n對美國來講\n現在是一個牽制美國的一個工具\n為什麼\n你美國跟我談判的話\n美國的貝森特每次進場談判\n一定跟中國大國講說\n拜託拜託 美債不要賣\n那中國大會說好\n我持有美債\n那你不要給我亂加稅\n所以他這個這個可以跟美國\n一個談判的一個籌碼\n我丟五百億就讓你受不了\n我有五千億的話\n我還可以丟一千億\n我丟一千億出來說實話\n我這個錢我放在那裡\n我是放在黃金呢\n還是放美債 美債還有利息\n那你可以去 你要放哪裡\n你也不可能大量的去把他這個錢\n就給他消化掉\n那你去買歐元嗎\n還是怎麼樣\n所以我覺得就對中國道理來講\n我覺得它這種持續的減持美金\n是對美國的一種\n這種長期的警告跟提醒說\n你不要惹我\n惹我我就把你這個美債\n拋售\n讓你的經濟出現大問題\n所以這個我覺得\n這是一種博弈的一個工具\n感謝觀看", "language": "zh", "duration": 680.948375, "segments": [ { "start": 0.0, "end": 29.52, "text": "美國跟日本聯手救市之後，其實一度有效果。但是立刻現在日圓又很疲弱了，又回到157以上了。當然現在大家都在說，為什麼美國要出手救日圓呢？原來就是，如果這個日圓再跌下去，政府就必須大舉拋售美國國債來換日圓。其實美國的內心是想要趁火打劫。好，另外外界有分析，日圓升息的話，就會失去套利工具的地位。", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.144839232308524, "no_speech_prob": 8.870998553789367e-12, "compression_ratio": 1.3290322580645162, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "美國跟日本聯手救世之後,其實一度有效果。但是立刻現在日圓又很疲弱了,又回到157以上了。當然現在大家都在說,為什麼美國要出手救日圓呢?原來就是,如果這個日圓再跌下去,政府就必須大舉拋售,美國國債來換日圓。其實美國的內心是想要趁火打劫。好,另外外界有分析,日圓升息的話,就會失去套利工具的地位。", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 29.52, "end": 32.12, "text": "那麼接下來就會變成美國的附庸", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "那麼接下來就會變成美國的附優", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 32.14, "end": 33.28, "text": "來請教一下大師", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 33.28, "end": 33.98, "text": "你怎麼樣看", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 34.0, "end": 36.04, "text": "對，美國救，美國救日圓", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "對 美國救 美國救日園", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 36.06, "end": 38.34, "text": "最主要就是他阻止", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 38.34, "end": 40.78, "text": "就是說成功間接阻止", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 40.8, "end": 44.56, "text": "就是說成功間接阻止日本用賣美債的方式來救日圓", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "日本用賣美債的方式來救日園", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 44.58, "end": 47.88, "text": "因為上一波日圓突破一比一百六十的時候", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "因為上一波日園突破一比一百六十的時候", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 47.88, "end": 50.42, "text": "日本政府花了七百四十億美元", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 50.44, "end": 53.44, "text": "對，那這七百億就是賣美債", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "對 那這七百億就是賣美債", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 53.46, "end": 54.92, "text": "所以美國現在最怕的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 54.94, "end": 56.16, "text": "就是人家賣美債", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 56.16, "end": 57.42, "text": "因為美國自己本身的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22558064363440689, "no_speech_prob": 1.4397334019422559e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4669117647058822, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 57.42, "end": 59.74, "text": "這個政府的債務有問題", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 59.76, "end": 61.24, "text": "那賣美債就會變成怎麼樣", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 61.26, "end": 63.54, "text": "美國殖利率升高", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 63.54, "end": 64.88, "text": "這個殖利率升高以後", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 64.9, "end": 67.68, "text": "這個殖利率升高以後，現在對現在美國自己已經欠了四十兆美金的這個美國政府的財政", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "現在對現在美國自己已經欠了四十兆", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 67.68, "end": 69.74, "text": "美金的這個美國政府的財政", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 69.74, "end": 71.92, "text": "也會造成一個很大的刺激", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 71.94, "end": 74.24, "text": "所以他們是要阻止日本賣美債", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 74.26, "end": 76.8, "text": "所以他們是要阻止日本賣美債", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "而且他這一次就日本的方式", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 76.8, "end": 79.94, "text": "是讓日本在美國的美債", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 79.94, "end": 81.64, "text": "拿出來做抵押品", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 81.66, "end": 83.58, "text": "然後美國政府借錢給他", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 83.58, "end": 85.64, "text": "而且借錢的時間很短", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 85.66, "end": 87.18, "text": "就是短暫的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16394566297531127, "no_speech_prob": 1.5495431326950637e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5053003533568905, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 87.18, "end": 89.82, "text": "那所以這個過程其實就是說", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 89.82, "end": 91.54, "text": "要告訴這個", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 91.56, "end": 93.3, "text": "所謂的可能像這樣", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 93.3, "end": 94.1, "text": "這種所謂的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 94.1, "end": 97.08, "text": "匯率的這種操盤", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "匯率的這種凸英", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 97.08, "end": 98.74, "text": "來狙擊日元的時候", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 98.76, "end": 99.64, "text": "發覺這個問題", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 99.66, "end": 100.44, "text": "沒有那麼簡單", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 100.44, "end": 101.56, "text": "美國出手", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 101.58, "end": 102.9, "text": "所以你做空日元的話", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 102.9, "end": 105.64, "text": "你最後可能血本無歸", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 105.66, "end": 106.94, "text": "那用這種方式", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 106.94, "end": 109.5, "text": "事實上短暫的把日元拉回來", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "事實上短暫的把日元拉上來", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 109.5, "end": 110.78, "text": "從一百六十三", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 110.8, "end": 111.44, "text": "一百六十四", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 111.44, "end": 112.96, "text": "拉回到一百五十七", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 112.98, "end": 114.5, "text": "一百五十五", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 114.5, "end": 116.8, "text": "一百五十五", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.211335909994025, "no_speech_prob": 1.2708632757263416e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4943396226415093, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "可是現在又到一百五十七", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 116.8, "end": 119.04, "text": "所以他會短暫會有效果", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 119.04, "end": 120.66, "text": "下一次美國可能也會出手", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 120.66, "end": 122.6, "text": "可能又可以拉回來", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 122.6, "end": 124.98, "text": "因為這個跟他跟日本的協議", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "因為這個對他跟日本的協議", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 124.98, "end": 126.44, "text": "就是說你不要賣美元", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 126.44, "end": 127.78, "text": "那不要賣美債", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 127.78, "end": 128.98, "text": "不要賣美債", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 128.98, "end": 131.12, "text": "那美國說", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "那美國就說", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 131.12, "end": 132.62, "text": "那日本就說那怎麼辦", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 132.62, "end": 134.24, "text": "那美國說我借錢給你", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 134.24, "end": 136.2, "text": "你拿美債當抵押品", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 136.2, "end": 137.56, "text": "我借錢給你", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 137.56, "end": 140.18, "text": "所以這個模式可能會用一兩次", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 140.18, "end": 142.26, "text": "可是隻能用一兩次", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 142.26, "end": 143.82, "text": "接下來就沒效了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 143.82, "end": 145.76, "text": "因為他的問題是什麼", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2379924082916055, "no_speech_prob": 1.7407257926760344e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5402298850574712, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 145.76, "end": 147.56, "text": "日本日元如果不", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 147.56, "end": 149.56, "text": "日元如果日本央行", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 149.58, "end": 150.84, "text": "如果不加息的話", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 150.86, "end": 153.56, "text": "這個利差就是日元最大的問題", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 153.56, "end": 155.14, "text": "他跟美元之間的利差", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 155.16, "end": 157.44, "text": "大概在三趴左右", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 157.46, "end": 159.92, "text": "那很多日本人基本上就賣日元", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 159.92, "end": 161.26, "text": "買美元", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 161.26, "end": 161.86, "text": "對不對", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 161.88, "end": 164.52, "text": "在日元在日本我這個舉債", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 164.54, "end": 166.56, "text": "我只有一趴的債", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 166.58, "end": 167.74, "text": "只有一趴的利息", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 167.76, "end": 170.24, "text": "我拿到美國去領那個四趴的利息", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 170.24, "end": 171.0, "text": "我就套利", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 171.02, "end": 171.64, "text": "套利啊", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 171.64, "end": 173.32, "text": "數目小不多", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 173.32, "end": 175.52, "text": "我大筆的錢去套利", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23311660463446812, "no_speech_prob": 1.2552832905077249e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5296442687747036, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 175.52, "end": 177.76, "text": "那是也是很可觀的收入", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 177.76, "end": 178.82, "text": "所以這個利差", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 178.82, "end": 180.02, "text": "基本上不解決的話", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 180.02, "end": 181.36, "text": "日元是不會有救的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 181.38, "end": 182.02, "text": "另外一方面", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 182.02, "end": 184.24, "text": "就變成日本的經濟本體", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 184.26, "end": 185.68, "text": "是這個國家的經濟", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "因為貨幣的載體", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 185.7, "end": 188.02, "text": "是這個該國的經濟", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 188.02, "end": 190.68, "text": "日本經濟一點起色都沒有", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 190.7, "end": 191.92, "text": "一點起色都沒有", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 191.94, "end": 195.44, "text": "而且所有日本的強項都沒有", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 195.44, "end": 197.0, "text": "你現在要買電器用品", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 197.0, "end": 198.42, "text": "你不是買韓國的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "你你不是買韓國的", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 198.44, "end": 199.68, "text": "就是買中國的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 199.7, "end": 200.68, "text": "日本的電器用品", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 200.7, "end": 202.02, "text": "你還有嗎", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 202.04, "end": 202.52, "text": "對不對", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 202.52, "end": 203.16, "text": "不多啦", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 203.18, "end": 205.14, "text": "只有臺灣有啊", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23210114886046976, "no_speech_prob": 1.711656164027353e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.510948905109489, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 205.14, "end": 206.28, "text": "別的地方不多了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 206.28, "end": 207.28, "text": "看不到日本的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 207.28, "end": 208.84, "text": "以前我們小時候", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 208.84, "end": 210.78, "text": "電冰箱洗衣機", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 210.78, "end": 213.34, "text": "電視機全部是日本貨", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "電視機全部是日本話", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 213.34, "end": 213.78, "text": "對不對", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 213.78, "end": 214.74, "text": "通通是日本貨", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "通通是日本話", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 214.74, "end": 216.62, "text": "連連那個所有的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 216.62, "end": 218.72, "text": "這個這種時髦的電器產品", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "這個這種時髦的電氣產品", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 218.72, "end": 219.38, "text": "都是日本貨", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "都是日本話", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 219.38, "end": 220.36, "text": "沒了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 220.36, "end": 222.56, "text": "日本車現在怎麼講", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 222.56, "end": 225.2, "text": "日本車今年中國大陸的汽車", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 225.2, "end": 226.96, "text": "外銷在前半年", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 226.96, "end": 229.06, "text": "已經超過七百萬輛", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 229.06, "end": 231.06, "text": "日本去年全年才不過", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 231.06, "end": 233.14, "text": "外銷了四百萬輛汽車", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.20578423628570341, "no_speech_prob": 1.92273089810735e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.434782608695652, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 233.14, "end": 234.68, "text": "所以汽車市場也沒了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 234.68, "end": 236.74, "text": "那你說新的產業", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 236.74, "end": 238.32, "text": "AI有嗎", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 238.32, "end": 238.9, "text": "沒有", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 238.9, "end": 240.16, "text": "然後呢", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 240.16, "end": 241.18, "text": "晶片有嗎", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 241.18, "end": 241.62, "text": "沒有", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 241.62, "end": 242.7, "text": "只有光刻膠", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 242.7, "end": 243.72, "text": "對不對", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 243.72, "end": 245.7, "text": "晶片還要我們臺積電去給他", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 245.7, "end": 247.1, "text": "幫他扶持他", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 247.1, "end": 247.76, "text": "對", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 247.76, "end": 248.8, "text": "然後呢", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 248.8, "end": 250.68, "text": "其他新能源有嗎", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 250.68, "end": 251.26, "text": "沒有", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 251.26, "end": 253.88, "text": "日本這個國家沒有", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 253.88, "end": 257.82, "text": "他的產業的競爭力已經沒有了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 257.82, "end": 258.58, "text": "然後呢", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 258.58, "end": 259.4, "text": "人口老化", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 259.4, "end": 261.12, "text": "然後勞動力缺乏", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 261.12, "end": 262.38, "text": "然後呢", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.23108590615762248, "no_speech_prob": 1.9059366931917232e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4026548672566372, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 262.38, "end": 264.0, "text": "還有一個很大的因素", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 264.0, "end": 265.7, "text": "又跟中國大陸交惡", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 265.7, "end": 267.62, "text": "對 中國大陸就把你的這個", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 267.62, "end": 269.7, "text": "觀光 工業生產 觀光", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 269.7, "end": 270.94, "text": "是工業生產", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 270.96, "end": 272.72, "text": "重要原料就被卡掉", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 272.72, "end": 273.42, "text": "一卡以後", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 273.42, "end": 275.26, "text": "現在日本很多工業產品", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 275.28, "end": 275.94, "text": "做不出來", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 275.94, "end": 278.7, "text": "包括汽車業都面臨危機", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 278.7, "end": 281.58, "text": "所以日本的經濟的本體是", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 281.58, "end": 283.56, "text": "看不出來起色的時候", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 283.56, "end": 285.26, "text": "日圓只是說", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 285.26, "end": 287.32, "text": "你可以用短暫的手段", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 287.34, "end": 289.56, "text": "一些工具把它止跌", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "一些工具把它止疊", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 289.56, "end": 291.26, "text": "對 可是長期趨勢", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.3768659892835115, "no_speech_prob": 1.5091731683791743e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3642857142857143, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 291.26, "end": 295.32, "text": "很多人說年底搞不好還是一百七", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2586895397731236, "no_speech_prob": 1.3150383559867862e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.315126050420168, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 295.34, "end": 297.62, "text": "這個一關都守不住", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2586895397731236, "no_speech_prob": 1.3150383559867862e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.315126050420168, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 297.62, "end": 299.86, "text": "甚至還可能有更低", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2586895397731236, "no_speech_prob": 1.3150383559867862e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.315126050420168, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 299.88, "end": 302.6, "text": "那不過高斯找苗呢", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2586895397731236, "no_speech_prob": 1.3150383559867862e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.315126050420168, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 302.6, "end": 304.52, "text": "他唯一的解救方法", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2586895397731236, "no_speech_prob": 1.3150383559867862e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.315126050420168, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 304.52, "end": 305.88, "text": "第一個跟美國求救", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2586895397731236, "no_speech_prob": 1.3150383559867862e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.315126050420168, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 305.9, "end": 308.38, "text": "我說跟美國求救短期效果可能有", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2586895397731236, "no_speech_prob": 1.3150383559867862e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.315126050420168, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 308.38, "end": 310.12, "text": "可是長期 中長期不一樣", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2586895397731236, "no_speech_prob": 1.3150383559867862e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.315126050420168, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 310.14, "end": 311.24, "text": "第二個他說", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2586895397731236, "no_speech_prob": 1.3150383559867862e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.315126050420168, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 311.24, "end": 314.76, "text": "那我就把那個消費稅給取消", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2586895397731236, "no_speech_prob": 1.3150383559867862e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.315126050420168, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "那我就把那個消費稅把取消", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 314.78, "end": 317.56, "text": "那很多日本人就就說", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2586895397731236, "no_speech_prob": 1.3150383559867862e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.315126050420168, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 317.56, "end": 321.3, "text": "你現在說實話 政府已經", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.15266439649793836, "no_speech_prob": 1.3952976794795457e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.301255230125523, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 321.32, "end": 323.56, "text": "這個已經財政困難了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.15266439649793836, "no_speech_prob": 1.3952976794795457e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.301255230125523, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 323.56, "end": 326.18, "text": "對不對 你還把一個重要的稅源", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.15266439649793836, "no_speech_prob": 1.3952976794795457e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.301255230125523, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 326.2, "end": 329.26, "text": "把它怎麼樣 把它取消掉以後", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.15266439649793836, "no_speech_prob": 1.3952976794795457e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.301255230125523, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 329.26, "end": 334.32, "text": "那日本老百姓 那些養老金 退休金", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.15266439649793836, "no_speech_prob": 1.3952976794795457e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.301255230125523, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 334.32, "end": 337.52, "text": "那醫療補助 社會的這些教育資金", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.15266439649793836, "no_speech_prob": 1.3952976794795457e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.301255230125523, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 337.52, "end": 340.78, "text": "不是都從哪裡來 越來越砍越少", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.15266439649793836, "no_speech_prob": 1.3952976794795457e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.301255230125523, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 340.78, "end": 344.08, "text": "那老百姓怎麼講 老百姓生活越來越苦", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.15266439649793836, "no_speech_prob": 1.3952976794795457e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.301255230125523, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 344.08, "end": 348.08, "text": "所以日本本來經濟狀況就是怎麼講", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2009304771738604, "no_speech_prob": 1.4614405172141964e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3658536585365855, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 348.08, "end": 350.44, "text": "就是已經是什麼", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2009304771738604, "no_speech_prob": 1.4614405172141964e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3658536585365855, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 350.44, "end": 352.42, "text": "已經是左支右支了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2009304771738604, "no_speech_prob": 1.4614405172141964e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3658536585365855, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 352.42, "end": 354.1, "text": "再加上這個高市早苗", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2009304771738604, "no_speech_prob": 1.4614405172141964e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3658536585365855, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "再加上這個高市掃描", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 354.1, "end": 355.48, "text": "拿不出辦法", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2009304771738604, "no_speech_prob": 1.4614405172141964e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3658536585365855, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 355.48, "end": 356.88, "text": "那靠美國", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2009304771738604, "no_speech_prob": 1.4614405172141964e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3658536585365855, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 356.88, "end": 360.7, "text": "那美國說實話可靠嗎", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2009304771738604, "no_speech_prob": 1.4614405172141964e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3658536585365855, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 360.7, "end": 363.24, "text": "所以日元是很不樂觀的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2009304771738604, "no_speech_prob": 1.4614405172141964e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3658536585365855, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 363.24, "end": 367.78, "text": "好但是其實這個美國不希望日本賣美債是有效的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2009304771738604, "no_speech_prob": 1.4614405172141964e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3658536585365855, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 367.78, "end": 369.98, "text": "但是接下來我們要來看到中國大陸", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2009304771738604, "no_speech_prob": 1.4614405172141964e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3658536585365855, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 369.98, "end": 372.84, "text": "倒是一路的減持美債", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2009304771738604, "no_speech_prob": 1.4614405172141964e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3658536585365855, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 372.84, "end": 377.24, "text": "因為中方已經拋售了6570億的美債了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.12216990152994792, "no_speech_prob": 2.012776924298354e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.2975778546712802, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 377.24, "end": 380.78, "text": "轉而購入3000多億的黃金", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.12216990152994792, "no_speech_prob": 2.012776924298354e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.2975778546712802, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 380.78, "end": 383.04, "text": "好 為什麼會這個樣子呢", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.12216990152994792, "no_speech_prob": 2.012776924298354e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.2975778546712802, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 383.04, "end": 386.44, "text": "中國的央行已經連續21個月都增持黃金了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.12216990152994792, "no_speech_prob": 2.012776924298354e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.2975778546712802, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 386.44, "end": 388.2, "text": "而且規模是逐月擴大", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.12216990152994792, "no_speech_prob": 2.012776924298354e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.2975778546712802, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 388.2, "end": 390.08, "text": "原因有三個 地緣風險", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.12216990152994792, "no_speech_prob": 2.012776924298354e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.2975778546712802, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 390.08, "end": 392.64, "text": "再來美債本身的風險也往上升", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.12216990152994792, "no_speech_prob": 2.012776924298354e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.2975778546712802, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 392.64, "end": 395.0, "text": "還有就是黃金的獨特性", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.12216990152994792, "no_speech_prob": 2.012776924298354e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.2975778546712802, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 395.0, "end": 397.54, "text": "當然世界黃金協會也預測了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.12216990152994792, "no_speech_prob": 2.012776924298354e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.2975778546712802, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 397.54, "end": 401.3, "text": "未來全球官方黃金儲備還是會持續的增加", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.12216990152994792, "no_speech_prob": 2.012776924298354e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.2975778546712802, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 401.3, "end": 402.82, "text": "包含二零二六第二季度", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 402.84, "end": 403.54, "text": "全球央行", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 403.54, "end": 405.14, "text": "還有其他的官方機構", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 405.14, "end": 407.82, "text": "購金就達到了兩百八十九頓", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "信購金就達到了兩百八十九頓", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 407.84, "end": 409.48, "text": "來請教一下大使怎麼看", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 409.48, "end": 412.58, "text": "對 中國大陸事實上過去最高所成", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 412.58, "end": 415.98, "text": "美 美債的這個持有率是上兆美金", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 416.0, "end": 418.56, "text": "對 那這兩年就是不斷的減持", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 418.58, "end": 419.94, "text": "不斷的減持", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 419.96, "end": 422.06, "text": "從這個八千億到七千億", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 422.06, "end": 424.8, "text": "現在已經降到七千以下了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 424.82, "end": 426.86, "text": "那我覺得他還會繼續去減持", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 426.86, "end": 428.6, "text": "因為事實上中國大陸一方面", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 428.6, "end": 431.12, "text": "也在推動這個所謂本幣交易", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.18201049977103195, "no_speech_prob": 1.6183807766134706e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3925233644859814, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 431.12, "end": 433.58, "text": "所以他這個作為第一個貿易大國", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 433.58, "end": 435.04, "text": "他手上美金的數量", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 435.06, "end": 436.82, "text": "可能已經不需要那麼大的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 436.82, "end": 439.14, "text": "因為美金還是一個主要的交易的", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 439.16, "end": 440.22, "text": "一個工具", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 440.24, "end": 441.7, "text": "在國際貿易上", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 441.72, "end": 442.96, "text": "所以對中國大陸來講", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 442.98, "end": 446.8, "text": "他手上還是一定要持有相當數目的美金", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 446.82, "end": 449.68, "text": "那可是在這個", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 449.7, "end": 451.22, "text": "就是在川普時代的話", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 451.22, "end": 453.56, "text": "美國有一些國有一些鷹派", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 453.56, "end": 454.68, "text": "對中鷹派的人", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 454.7, "end": 456.96, "text": "居然曾經講過一些話", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 456.98, "end": 459.64, "text": "他說中國大陸用不公平的方式", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 459.64, "end": 460.32, "text": "跟我們貿易", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.16947262103740984, "no_speech_prob": 1.5092423838458657e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5106382978723405, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 460.32, "end": 462.8, "text": "讓我們造成那麼大的貿易逆差", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22204117381244626, "no_speech_prob": 1.9602550485608994e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3714285714285714, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 462.8, "end": 465.04, "text": "我們有一個辦法可以治中國大陸", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22204117381244626, "no_speech_prob": 1.9602550485608994e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3714285714285714, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 465.04, "end": 467.38, "text": "就是把中國大陸的美債", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22204117381244626, "no_speech_prob": 1.9602550485608994e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3714285714285714, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 467.38, "end": 469.62, "text": "全部沒收 扣住", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22204117381244626, "no_speech_prob": 1.9602550485608994e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3714285714285714, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 469.62, "end": 471.6, "text": "沒收 意思就是說", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22204117381244626, "no_speech_prob": 1.9602550485608994e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3714285714285714, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 471.6, "end": 473.5, "text": "我欠你一兆", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22204117381244626, "no_speech_prob": 1.9602550485608994e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3714285714285714, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 473.5, "end": 474.74, "text": "對不對 你買了我一兆", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22204117381244626, "no_speech_prob": 1.9602550485608994e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3714285714285714, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 474.74, "end": 476.36, "text": "你把一兆放在我這邊", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22204117381244626, "no_speech_prob": 1.9602550485608994e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3714285714285714, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 476.36, "end": 478.66, "text": "那我認為你因為貿易跟我不公平", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22204117381244626, "no_speech_prob": 1.9602550485608994e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3714285714285714, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 478.66, "end": 480.0, "text": "我這一兆我沒收了", "chunk": 0, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.22204117381244626, "no_speech_prob": 1.9602550485608994e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3714285714285714, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 495.0, "end": 497.88, "text": "如果他沒有貴金屬 作為他的這個", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 497.88, "end": 500.24, "text": "所以锚定他的貨幣", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "所以矛定他的貨幣", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 500.24, "end": 502.48, "text": "對一個什麼 保證", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 502.5, "end": 504.38, "text": "事實上也是比較脆弱", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 504.38, "end": 505.44, "text": "所以我覺得中國大陸", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 505.44, "end": 506.42, "text": "現在就變成就是說", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 506.44, "end": 508.38, "text": "第一個美金的用途", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 508.38, "end": 509.06, "text": "對他來講", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 509.06, "end": 510.56, "text": "已經沒有那個需要", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 510.56, "end": 513.12, "text": "所以他慢慢再來轉", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 513.12, "end": 515.18, "text": "而且這個世界", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 515.18, "end": 518.62, "text": "地緣政治越來越失控", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 518.64, "end": 522.36, "text": "那你不得不考慮", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 522.36, "end": 524.36, "text": "有的時候跟美國的關係", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.37134759521484373, "no_speech_prob": 1.5935055358573535e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.275735294117647, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 524.36, "end": 526.12, "text": "做最壞的打算的話", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.25867865880330404, "no_speech_prob": 2.3362369330759414e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4103585657370519, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 526.12, "end": 530.44, "text": "就是說你要避免他將來對你經濟資產產生的效果的話", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.25867865880330404, "no_speech_prob": 2.3362369330759414e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4103585657370519, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 530.44, "end": 535.94, "text": "那就是自己本身有決定自己貨幣的這種工具", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.25867865880330404, "no_speech_prob": 2.3362369330759414e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4103585657370519, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "那就是自己本身有矛定自己貨幣的這種工具", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 535.94, "end": 538.7, "text": "另外一方面對美元的這個依賴", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.25867865880330404, "no_speech_prob": 2.3362369330759414e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4103585657370519, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 538.7, "end": 539.98, "text": "美金的資產", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.25867865880330404, "no_speech_prob": 2.3362369330759414e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4103585657370519, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 539.98, "end": 544.92, "text": "那其實是你跟美國在這個進行這個對抗的時候一個弱點", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.25867865880330404, "no_speech_prob": 2.3362369330759414e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4103585657370519, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 544.92, "end": 549.96, "text": "那就把這些資產慢慢慢慢的把它換成其他的這些工具", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.25867865880330404, "no_speech_prob": 2.3362369330759414e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4103585657370519, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 549.96, "end": 551.06, "text": "來保值", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.25867865880330404, "no_speech_prob": 2.3362369330759414e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4103585657370519, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "來保資", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 551.06, "end": 555.68, "text": "而且來做這種準備 暫時的準備", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 555.68, "end": 558.46, "text": "所以我覺得這個都是慢慢在做的", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 558.46, "end": 561.18, "text": "那當然這也是跟美國一個籌碼", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 561.18, "end": 563.86, "text": "我覺得中國大國也不會完全拋光", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "我覺得中國大會也不會完全拋光", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 563.86, "end": 565.78, "text": "因為拿個五千億的話", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 565.78, "end": 566.86, "text": "說實話", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 566.86, "end": 567.86, "text": "對美國來講", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 567.86, "end": 570.06, "text": "現在是一個牽制美國的一個工具", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 570.06, "end": 571.18, "text": "為什麼", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 571.18, "end": 572.94, "text": "你美國跟我談判的話", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 572.94, "end": 575.62, "text": "美國的貝森特每次進場談判", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 575.62, "end": 576.9, "text": "一定跟中國大國講說", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "一定跟中國大會講說", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 576.9, "end": 579.26, "text": "拜託拜託 美債不要賣", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 579.26, "end": 580.46, "text": "那中國大會說好", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.2502771924425672, "no_speech_prob": 1.676068658862384e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.4532374100719425, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 580.46, "end": 581.46, "text": "我持有美債", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "我持你美債", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 581.46, "end": 583.34, "text": "那你不要給我亂加稅", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 583.34, "end": 584.94, "text": "所以他這個這個可以跟美國", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 584.96, "end": 586.7, "text": "一個談判的一個籌碼", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 586.7, "end": 589.3, "text": "我丟五百億就讓你受不了", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 589.3, "end": 590.22, "text": "我有五千億的話", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 590.22, "end": 591.7, "text": "我還可以丟一千億", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 591.7, "end": 593.7, "text": "我丟一千億出來說實話", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 593.7, "end": 596.02, "text": "我這個錢我放在那裡", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 596.02, "end": 598.66, "text": "我是放在黃金呢", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper", "text_original": "我是放在 放在 放在黃金呢", "correction_applied": true, "correction_source": "llm_correct_a_presegmentation" }, { "start": 598.66, "end": 601.46, "text": "還是放美債 美債還有利息", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 601.46, "end": 603.66, "text": "那你可以去 你要放哪裡", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 603.66, "end": 606.02, "text": "你也不可能大量的去把他這個錢", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 606.02, "end": 607.58, "text": "就給他消化掉", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 607.58, "end": 609.34, "text": "那你去買歐元嗎", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.29761277175531153, "no_speech_prob": 1.617384524921217e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.5089605734767024, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 609.34, "end": 610.18, "text": "還是怎麼樣", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.1690755307095722, "no_speech_prob": 2.989238717665543e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3428571428571427, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 610.18, "end": 612.36, "text": "所以我覺得就對中國道理來講", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.1690755307095722, "no_speech_prob": 2.989238717665543e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3428571428571427, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 612.36, "end": 615.18, "text": "我覺得它這種持續的減持美金", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.1690755307095722, "no_speech_prob": 2.989238717665543e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3428571428571427, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 615.18, "end": 616.48, "text": "是對美國的一種", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.1690755307095722, "no_speech_prob": 2.989238717665543e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3428571428571427, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 616.48, "end": 619.5, "text": "這種長期的警告跟提醒說", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.1690755307095722, "no_speech_prob": 2.989238717665543e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3428571428571427, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 619.5, "end": 620.6, "text": "你不要惹我", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.1690755307095722, "no_speech_prob": 2.989238717665543e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3428571428571427, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 620.6, "end": 622.48, "text": "惹我我就把你這個美債", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.1690755307095722, "no_speech_prob": 2.989238717665543e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3428571428571427, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 622.48, "end": 623.32, "text": "拋售", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.1690755307095722, "no_speech_prob": 2.989238717665543e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3428571428571427, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 623.32, "end": 625.82, "text": "讓你的經濟出現大問題", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.1690755307095722, "no_speech_prob": 2.989238717665543e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3428571428571427, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 625.82, "end": 627.34, "text": "所以這個我覺得", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.1690755307095722, "no_speech_prob": 2.989238717665543e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3428571428571427, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 627.34, "end": 629.44, "text": "這是一種博弈的一個工具", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.1690755307095722, "no_speech_prob": 2.989238717665543e-11, "compression_ratio": 1.3428571428571427, "source": "whisper" }, { "start": 639.34, "end": 669.32, "text": "感謝觀看", "chunk": 1, "language": "zh", "avg_logprob": -0.7122338839939663, "no_speech_prob": 4.5831911182903085e-11, "compression_ratio": 0.5714285714285714, "source": "whisper" } ], "transcript_selection": { "schema": 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