0:00.000–0:03.540
We're leading China. We're leading China by a lot. China knows that.
0:03.760–0:07.040
The race between America and China for AI dominance.
0:07.140–0:09.208
There's only going to be one winner here, and
0:09.208–0:11.220
that's probably going to be the US or China.
0:11.380–0:13.380
Who's winning? America or China?
0:13.960–0:17.740
China just beat America in the AI race. And the craziest part?
0:17.900–0:20.891
They're not only beating American AI globally, but
0:20.891–0:22.560
also inside America itself.
0:22.780–0:27.860
Chinese AI models now account for nearly 60% of AI usage by US companies.
0:27.860–0:32.220
Companies like Pinterest, Airbnb and Coinbase are already using them.
0:32.500–0:33.720
And it's easy to see why.
0:34.040–0:35.680
Recently, Kimi K3 dropped.
0:36.040–0:38.640
It's the world's largest open source AI model.
0:38.960–0:43.580
It even beat GPT 5.6 and Fable 5 on some benchmarks.
0:43.780–0:47.340
And demand exploded so fast that new signups had to be paused.
0:47.480–0:51.420
Now, Alibaba is releasing an equally powerful QEN 3.8.
0:51.500–0:53.100
And you can use them all for free.
0:53.240–0:55.120
But that's not even the biggest surprise.
0:55.120–0:56.344
Just a few years ago,
0:56.344–0:57.640
the United States blo
0:57.640–0:58.936
cked China from buyin
0:58.936–1:01.960
g the world's most advanced AI chips and machines.
1:02.060–1:05.680
NVIDIA is trying to unlock those advanced chip sales in China,
1:06.000–1:08.900
but the Chinese government wants to encourage domestic production.
1:09.320–1:12.600
The country with the best AI doesn't just build better chatbots.
1:12.800–1:15.703
It also builds better weapons, better cyber security,
1:15.703–1:17.280
better scientific research,
1:17.580–1:19.560
and eventually a stronger economy.
1:19.840–1:22.720
Which means AI is no longer just a technology race.
1:22.720–1:24.540
It's a race for global power.
1:24.540–1:28.620
And when the world's biggest superpower feels the next best country is catching up,
1:28.880–1:31.880
it doesn't just compete, it changes the rules of the game.
1:32.140–1:37.127
The main priority is to strategically become independent of NVIDIA and
1:37.127–1:39.620
other Western manufactured chips.
1:39.820–1:40.829
In October 2022,
1:40.829–1:41.838
the United State
1:41.838–1:42.776
s blocked China
1:42.776–1:46.380
from buying the world's most advanced AI chips from NVIDIA.
1:46.700–1:50.600
The logic was simple. No advanced chips meant weaker AI models,
1:50.920–1:53.480
and weaker AI models meant China would fall behind.
1:53.480–1:56.920
But this did not stop China or even slow them down.
1:57.160–1:58.835
A few short years later, today,
1:58.835–2:02.120
China is not only building some of the world's best AI models,
2:02.280–2:04.520
it's giving most of them to the public for free.
2:04.760–2:06.260
So how did China manage this?
2:06.520–2:11.000
How did it turn such a setback into one of the biggest AI comeback stories ever?
2:11.300–2:15.200
Before we begin, I put a cheat sheet of all the best Chinese AI tools
2:15.200–2:19.060
and how to use them for free in my WhatsApp community called Staying Ahead.
2:19.360–2:20.960
Grab it from the link in the description.
2:21.340–2:22.580
Now let's dive into the video.
2:23.480–2:30.680
When ChatGPT launched in late 2022, it kicked off a global AI race.
2:30.680–2:33.680
ChatGPT. ChatGPT. ChatGPT.
2:33.680–2:35.480
It's been held as a game changer.
2:35.480–2:39.303
Every country suddenly wanted to build the smartest AI model,
2:39.303–2:40.920
but there was one problem.
2:41.260–2:43.860
Training AI isn't like running an app on your laptop.
2:44.220–2:47.688
An AI model has to process billions of pieces of data until
2:47.688–2:50.000
the model gradually learns patterns.
2:50.000–2:58.380
That requires enormous computing power which comes from thousands of specialized AI chips working together inside massive data centers.
2:58.720–3:01.305
To simply explain chips for those who don't know,
3:01.305–3:03.764
they are parts of a computer that do all the thin
3:03.764–3:05.340
king and calculations for AI.
3:05.740–3:10.380
And there were just three companies that controlled almost everything needed to make those chips.
3:10.580–3:13.180
First was Nvidia which designs these chips.
3:13.700–3:15.860
TSMC in Taiwan manufactured them.
3:15.860–3:17.599
And ASML, a Dutch company,
3:17.599–3:19.418
built the incredibly compl
3:19.418–3:22.580
ex machines needed to manufacture those chips.
3:22.900–3:25.020
And all these were controlled by the US.
3:25.220–3:27.166
At this point, you might be wondering,
3:27.166–3:29.052
if two of these companies aren't even
3:29.052–3:31.120
American, how could the US control them?
3:31.620–3:35.040
The answer lies in something called the Foreign Direct Product Rule.
3:35.320–3:36.938
It was started in 1959 and
3:36.938–3:41.560
essentially says that if a product was made using American technology,
3:41.560–3:45.140
the US government has the power to stop it from being sold.
3:45.140–3:48.140
and this includes products made in a foreign country.
3:48.520–3:51.981
And since TSMC and ASML rely on American technology,
3:51.981–3:54.420
software and intellectual property
3:54.420–3:56.004
to build their products,
3:56.004–4:00.000
the US has the leverage to cut them off from the tools they need to
4:00.000–4:03.324
survive and shut their companies down. So in simple words,
4:03.324–4:05.020
America doesn't just make the
4:05.020–4:08.946
world's best AI chips, it controls who could buy them.
4:08.946–4:12.000
And in 2022, it decided China shouldn't be
4:12.000–4:14.280
allowed to buy them. First, Huawei and
4:14.280–4:17.700
dozens of other Chinese companies were placed on a banned
4:17.700–4:21.958
list, making it extremely difficult for them to buy American technology.
4:21.958–4:23.400
Then the US banned NVIDIA
4:23.400–4:26.664
from exporting its most powerful AI chip then,
4:26.664–4:30.180
the H100, to China. It also stopped companies from
4:30.180–4:34.289
selling China the advanced machines needed to manufacture those chips.
4:34.289–4:35.300
China wasn't just
4:35.300–4:37.879
blocked from buying the world's best AI hardware,
4:37.879–4:40.520
it was also blocked from building it. The situation
4:40.520–4:43.727
was so bad that Nvidia had to create a slightly weaker chip.
4:43.727–4:45.560
And we return now to breaking news
4:45.560–4:51.540
from Nvidia. Nvidia reportedly plans to release a downgraded version of H20 that could legally
4:51.540–4:54.836
be sold to China. So as you see, by every logical measure,
4:54.836–4:57.080
China should have fallen behind in the
4:57.080–5:00.781
AI. Most experts agree that China is still a little behind the US.
5:00.781–5:02.220
If there's anything that
5:02.220–5:03.895
you think people could agree on,
5:03.895–5:07.060
it would be that the most advanced AI technology does not go to
5:07.060–5:10.541
China. It is very plausible that if we get this policy wrong,
5:10.541–5:12.700
China could be overtaking the United
5:12.700–5:16.483
States. But instead, they turned the situation around.
5:16.483–5:19.140
Let me show you how. Problem one, chips.
5:19.460–5:21.290
The first problem was obvious.
5:21.290–5:24.740
China could no longer buy the world's best AI chips from not
5:24.740–5:28.459
only Nvidia, but also microchips for phones from Samsung,
5:28.459–5:31.040
MediaTek, and Qualcomm. And these chips
5:31.040–5:33.824
were being used to bring phones into the 5G era.
5:33.824–5:36.680
Everyone thought Huawei and Chinese companies
5:36.680–5:38.794
would be stuck in 4G era because
5:38.794–5:42.940
the ultra expensive machines were only with US and US allies.
5:43.340–5:46.352
But in 2023, Huawei made the Ascent chips,
5:46.352–5:49.880
put them in its smartphone Mate 60 Pro and shocked
5:49.880–5:52.441
the world by connecting their phones to 5G.
5:52.441–5:55.500
To show you how significant that is, even Apple took
5:55.500–5:58.807
very long to make its own chips to stop paying Qualcomm.
5:58.807–6:01.180
Now, behind that achievement was SMIC,
6:01.180–6:03.551
China's largest semiconductor manufacturer.
6:03.551–6:06.040
Even without access to the world's best machines,
6:06.220–6:10.868
SMIC, found ways to manufacture advanced chips using older equipment.
6:10.868–6:12.340
It wasn't as efficient
6:12.340–6:14.398
or as cheap as TSMC, but it worked.
6:14.398–6:18.220
China wasn't trying to build the world's best chip overnight.
6:18.580–6:22.423
It was trying to make sure it no longer depended on someone else's.
6:22.423–6:23.960
Problem 2, make every chip
6:23.960–6:28.227
work harder. But building domestic chips was only part of the solution.
6:28.227–6:29.720
China's chips were still
6:29.720–6:31.247
slower than Nvidia's and
6:31.247–6:35.320
US export restrictions made those chips very difficult to access.
6:35.320–6:37.723
China was in an unfair position. So first,
6:37.723–6:40.400
they tried to bypass the restrictions through
6:40.400–6:43.561
smuggling from places such as Malaysia, Japan and
6:43.561–6:46.120
Hong Kong. Some even used human couriers
6:46.120–6:47.524
to smuggle in chips.
6:47.524–6:51.820
A student was paid $100 for each of the six chips he carried from
6:51.820–6:54.850
Singapore to China in his luggage. But eventually,
6:54.850–6:57.740
all this barely scratched the surface in helping
6:57.740–6:59.617
China grow its AI industry. So
6:59.617–7:03.520
Chinese engineers asked a different question instead of just
7:03.520–7:06.437
building bigger computers with better chips.
7:06.437–7:08.980
What if we build smarter AI? This is where
7:08.980–7:12.561
companies like DeepSeek completely changed the conversation.
7:12.561–7:14.020
DeepSeek used a technique
7:14.020–7:15.792
called mixture of experts.
7:15.792–7:19.720
Let me explain this using an oversimplified example. Say you
7:19.720–7:22.633
have a company of 200 people and on a particular day when
7:22.633–7:24.660
you want to solve a marketing problem,
7:24.660–7:26.618
you don't call everyone into the meeting.
7:26.618–7:28.520
You only call the marketing team, right?
7:28.860–7:31.487
Previous AI models often worked differently.
7:31.487–7:33.980
Every time you asked a question, the AI would
7:33.980–7:35.735
call the whole team. Basically,
7:35.735–7:39.180
the whole model would calculate the answer. That required huge
7:39.180–7:42.530
amounts of power and made each response more expensive.
7:42.530–7:44.740
To address this, American companies
7:44.740–7:48.019
like OpenAI explored the use of a mixture of experts,
7:48.019–7:50.180
which basically divided the model
7:50.180–7:52.820
into multiple specialized expert clusters.
7:53.220–7:56.820
However, DeepSeq engineers took this concept to the next level.
7:57.160–8:00.000
Instead of dividing the model into dozens of expert clusters,
8:00.000–8:02.857
Instead of dividing the model into dozens of expert clusters,
8:02.857–8:04.120
they sliced it into 256 tiny
8:04.120–8:06.515
hyper-specialized experts. So when
8:06.515–8:10.920
you ask DeepSeq to solve a coding problem, an ultra-efficient route
8:10.920–8:15.326
instantly kicks in and activates just eight of those tiny experts.
8:15.326–8:16.900
The rest stayed asleep.
8:16.900–8:20.418
That means DeepSeek can produce strong answers while
8:20.418–8:22.920
using far cheaper costs. Look at this.
8:22.920–8:26.537
While the best models of GPT and Claude cost $5 and
8:26.537–8:29.360
$10 per million tokens in input costs,
8:29.360–8:33.516
respectively, the best model of DeepSeek costs only $0.
8:33.516–8:36.080
4. And while GPT and Claude cost $30
8:36.080–8:40.704
$50 respectively in output costs, DeepSeek only cost $0.
8:40.704–8:42.920
87. But that wasn't all. The
8:42.920–8:45.485
Chinese didn't stop with their innovation there.
8:45.485–8:47.440
They also invented a technique called
8:47.440–8:49.974
Multi-Head Latent Attention or MLA.
8:49.974–8:53.980
To understand what this does, let's take another example.
8:53.980–8:57.785
Imagine you're talking to an AI about a 100-page document.
8:57.785–8:59.960
Every time you ask a new question,
8:59.960–9:05.020
the AI needs to remember the important details from everything it has already read. So it
9:05.020–9:08.400
It stores all this information in its temporary memory.
9:08.400–9:10.697
Engineers call this the key value cache, but
9:10.697–9:13.180
you can simply think of it as the AI's short-term
9:13.180–9:14.180
memory.
9:14.180–9:17.403
The longer the conversation gets, the more memory the AI needs,
9:17.403–9:18.680
which makes it expensive
9:18.680–9:19.680
to run.
9:19.680–9:23.180
DeepSeq's technique, MLA, compresses that memory.
9:23.180–9:25.593
Instead of storing every detail separately,
9:25.593–9:28.260
it creates a much smaller summary of the important
9:28.260–9:32.200
information and uses that to answer future questions.
9:32.200–9:38.300
It is similar to replacing 100 pages of information with a few pages of well-organized notes.
9:38.300–9:42.821
This reduces the model's short-term memory requirements by over 90%,
9:42.821–9:44.200
allowing it to handle
9:44.200–9:48.260
longer conversations while using far less computing power.
9:48.260–9:51.560
That makes the model cheaper and more efficient to run.
9:51.560–9:53.751
So with all these incredible tricks,
9:53.751–9:56.860
DeepSeek managed to build a world-class AI model for
9:56.860–9:59.561
reportedly just under 6 million dollars while
9:59.561–10:02.540
Anthropic and other large companies were spending
10:02.540–10:05.578
billions of dollars to train their models. And
10:05.578–10:08.460
if you look at the comparison of its V4 Pro Max
10:08.460–10:13.571
model with comparable launches back then like Opus 4.
10:13.571–10:17.660
6 Max, GPT 5.4 and Gemini 3.1 Pro, you'll see
10:17.660–10:20.003
that its performance is comparable. So
10:20.003–10:23.340
that was all about creating efficient software but this
10:23.340–10:25.566
only solves half the problem because
10:25.566–10:28.940
even the best software needs enough hardware from chips
10:28.940–10:30.827
to data centers to train and
10:30.827–10:35.340
run ai models on for those who don't know a data center is a physical
10:35.340–10:38.289
facility that contains the servers and
10:38.289–10:42.220
ai chips that run websites apps cloud services and ai
10:42.220–10:46.140
models along with the storage networking backup power and
10:46.140–10:49.020
cooling systems needed to keep everything
10:49.020–10:53.298
running. And so China was not only short of cutting-edge AI chips,
10:53.298–10:54.620
they also found that
10:54.620–10:58.044
the newly built data centers were actually underused.
10:58.044–10:59.980
So China decided to treat its AI
10:59.980–11:04.117
infrastructure in the same way a country treats roads or electricity,
11:04.117–11:05.660
as public infrastructure
11:05.660–11:06.835
that everyone can use.
11:06.835–11:08.010
The government is buil
11:08.010–11:11.040
ding something called the National Integrated Computing
11:11.040–11:13.928
Power Network by 2030, or even earlier.
11:13.928–11:18.040
To explain it simply, it built many large data centers in
11:18.040–11:19.973
In regions where land was cheaper,
11:19.973–11:23.040
renewable energy was more abundant and there was space
11:23.040–11:24.500
for huge facilities.
11:24.500–11:27.870
China then connected these centers to businesses and
11:27.870–11:30.640
cities through high-speed fiber networks,
11:30.640–11:33.071
allowing businesses, universities and
11:33.071–11:36.360
researchers to rent computing power when they need it.
11:36.360–11:38.380
Here is how it works using an example.
11:38.380–11:43.240
Imagine a small AI startup in Shanghai wants to train a new AI model.
11:43.240–11:44.972
Buying hundreds of GPUs and
11:44.972–11:48.360
building its own data center could cost a lot of money.
11:48.360–11:51.060
Instead, it can rent computing power online.
11:51.060–11:53.479
The startup uploads its code and data and
11:53.479–11:55.400
chooses how much power it needs.
11:55.400–12:00.240
And the platform finds available chips in connected data centers possibly thousands
12:00.240–12:01.600
of kilometers away.
12:01.600–12:04.162
Its engineers can monitor the training remotely and
12:04.162–12:06.200
download the finished model once the work
12:06.200–12:07.200
is complete.
12:07.200–12:11.175
China has not built one fully connected national computing grid yet,
12:11.175–12:12.340
but that is the goal.
12:12.340–12:16.280
computing power easier and cheaper to rent across the country.
12:16.280–12:19.600
This brings us to Problem Number 4 Training the Models
12:19.600–12:25.180
Because even the smartest AI models are useless without enough data to train them. And for
12:25.180–12:28.940
the next generation of AI, text alone is not enough.
12:28.940–12:31.709
Video models need to understand how people move,
12:31.709–12:34.140
how objects interact, and how the physical
12:34.140–12:39.380
world behaves. You cannot teach an AI what running looks like by only describing it in
12:39.380–12:43.147
words. It needs to watch millions of examples of different people,
12:43.147–12:44.560
camera angles, lighting
12:44.560–12:47.184
conditions, environments and movements.
12:47.184–12:49.880
It needs to see how clothes move, how shadows
12:49.880–12:53.350
change and what happens when someone steps into a puddle.
12:53.350–12:54.940
And this is where China has
12:54.940–12:56.111
a major advantage.
12:56.111–12:57.135
China has one of t
12:57.135–13:00.500
he largest digital ecosystems in the world. Platforms
13:00.500–13:02.831
like Douyin, WeChat, TikTok and
13:02.831–13:07.060
other Chinese apps generate huge amounts of text, images,
13:07.060–13:10.451
audio and video every day. For companies like ByteDance,
13:10.451–13:12.500
which owns the popular AI platform
13:12.500–13:17.054
C-Dance, this is not just content, it is valuable training data.
13:17.054–13:19.500
ByteDance owns Dooyan and TikTok,
13:19.500–13:22.314
along with several tools for creating, editing and
13:22.314–13:24.800
recommending videos. This gives the company
13:24.800–13:28.052
access to more than just the video itself. It can also
13:28.052–13:29.900
study how people react to that
13:29.900–13:32.475
video, which clips do people keep watching and
13:32.475–13:34.720
at what moment do viewers lose interest.
13:34.720–13:39.180
Now this does not mean ByteDance uses every private video to train its AI.
13:39.180–13:42.188
We do not know exactly what data each company uses,
13:42.188–13:44.480
but owning some of the world's largest
13:44.480–13:48.760
video platforms still gives Chinese companies a powerful advantage.
13:48.760–13:52.300
Because if chips are the engine of AI, data is the fuel.
13:52.300–13:56.191
And China did not just use that fuel to build competitive AI models,
13:56.191–13:57.720
it also started releasing
13:57.720–13:59.220
many of them for free.
13:59.220–14:02.915
Today, models like DeepSeek, Quen by Alibaba,
14:02.915–14:06.420
Kimi by Moonshot AI, and GLM models from Z.AI
14:06.420–14:09.560
are available completely free to download and run.
14:09.680–14:11.240
And this raises an obvious question.
14:11.560–14:14.040
Running AI companies can cost billions of dollars.
14:14.360–14:19.120
In fact, many major AI companies are still spending far more money than they earn.
14:19.120–14:23.260
So how can Chinese companies offer powerful AI models for free?
14:23.520–14:25.940
If users aren't paying these companies, who is?
14:25.940–14:30.100
The answer is that Chinese AI companies aren't really selling AI models.
14:30.460–14:31.880
The model is only the entry point.
14:32.000–14:33.180
They're selling something much bigger.
14:33.520–14:36.340
1. They're selling the ecosystem, not the model.
14:36.740–14:37.480
Think about Google.
14:37.840–14:39.500
Google gives away Chrome for free.
14:39.820–14:41.620
Not because browsers are cheap to build,
14:41.900–14:44.640
but because Chrome brings people into Google's ecosystem,
14:45.000–14:47.306
where they eventually use advertising and
14:47.306–14:49.100
paid services like Google Cloud.
14:49.460–14:52.320
Chinese AI companies are following the same playbook.
14:52.320–14:54.667
While Western companies like OpenAI and
14:54.667–14:57.015
Anthropic primarily make money by selli
14:57.015–14:59.500
ng access to their intelligence directly.
14:59.840–15:04.040
You pay for a subscription or an API call or how many tokens you consume, right?
15:04.440–15:07.880
Chinese companies often make money later in the user journey.
15:08.240–15:12.380
For example, Alibaba not only wants you to chat with their AI model, Quen,
15:12.780–15:14.391
it wants companies to build and
15:14.391–15:16.560
run their applications on Alibaba Cloud.
15:16.560–15:20.035
Tencent, the company behind the super app WeChat,
15:20.035–15:22.600
not only wants businesses to test its
15:22.600–15:24.120
AI model, Hanuan.
15:24.120–15:27.990
It wants them to use Tencent Cloud, its enterprise software and
15:27.990–15:30.180
the rest of its business ecosystem.
15:30.180–15:34.379
It needs GPU, servers, storage, security, monitoring,
15:34.379–15:36.880
technical support and engineers
15:36.880–15:40.220
who can connect the AI to its existing systems.
15:40.220–15:42.410
That is where the real money can be made,
15:42.410–15:44.800
whether it's cloud hosting, consulting or
15:44.800–15:46.878
even custom AI solutions. So
15:46.878–15:50.860
right now the model may be cheap or even free to download
15:50.860–15:54.888
but everything required to operate it reliably at scale is not.
15:54.888–15:56.560
The model is not always the
15:56.560–16:00.000
final product, it is the customer acquisition strategy.
16:01.820–16:04.520
these models become paid later, because by then
16:04.520–16:06.680
many users may have no other option but
16:06.680–16:07.680
to pay.
16:07.680–16:09.945
Reason 2 Win with distribution Remember,
16:09.945–16:12.080
China couldn't compete with America on
16:12.080–16:14.201
the top models that Anthropic and
16:14.201–16:17.760
OpenAI were constantly innovating, using better chips
16:17.760–16:19.840
and coming out ahead. So China instead
16:19.840–16:22.960
decided to win with distribution and make their products
16:22.960–16:24.176
free and open weight.
16:24.176–16:28.160
This basically means that developers can download the trained model,
16:28.160–16:31.804
run it on their own computers or servers, modify it and
16:31.804–16:34.720
fine tune it for their own use. For example,
16:34.720–16:37.016
a retail company could take the model and
16:37.016–16:39.920
customize it by teaching it its internal policies,
16:39.920–16:41.479
product catalog and more so
16:41.479–16:44.800
it can accurately handle customer support queries for it.
16:44.800–16:47.094
It's a win for companies but it's also
16:47.094–16:50.720
a win for the Chinese companies. If millions of developers
16:50.720–16:53.051
can freely experiment with your model,
16:53.051–16:56.160
they begin building apps on top of it. And every time a
16:56.160–16:59.431
developer chooses your model instead of a competitor's,
16:59.431–17:01.680
they invest time learning how it works,
17:01.680–17:04.976
writing code around it and integrating it into their systems.
17:04.976–17:06.560
That makes them less likely to
17:06.560–17:09.360
switch. It's like if you invested time and
17:09.360–17:12.640
effort on Twitter and built a 100,000 following,
17:12.640–17:15.411
you're less likely to switch to threads. Similarly,
17:15.411–17:17.300
it works for developers using these
17:17.300–17:18.447
models. Secondly,
17:18.447–17:19.522
researchers will
17:19.522–17:22.820
be able to effortlessly study these models and publish
17:22.820–17:26.039
improvements or techniques that others can reuse.
17:26.039–17:28.660
Over time, this creates a network effect.
17:28.660–17:31.487
The more people use the model, the more tools,
17:31.487–17:34.240
tutorials and expertise exist around it. It
17:34.240–17:39.180
That is the same basic reason Android became the world's largest mobile operating system.
17:39.180–17:41.948
Google allowed thousands of manufacturers and
17:41.948–17:44.440
millions of developers to build around it.
17:44.440–17:47.067
And once enough, people are building on your platform,
17:47.067–17:48.780
your ecosystem can grow faster than
17:48.780–17:50.300
any single competitor.
17:50.300–17:53.280
That strategy is already working for Chinese companies.
17:53.280–17:57.080
Look at this chart that's showing the world's top 50 most used AI models.
17:57.080–18:00.880
You'll see that Chinese models are rapidly gaining market share.
18:00.880–18:04.140
And when it comes to the top 20 AI models in the world,
18:04.140–18:05.960
between May and June of 2026,
18:05.960–18:10.760
the monthly token usage of Chinese AI models has surpassed the US models.
18:10.760–18:12.960
But let's look at more specific examples.
18:12.960–18:17.580
Alibaba's QEN models surpassed 1 billion total downloads this year.
18:17.580–18:19.900
Many large US companies also use it.
18:19.900–18:23.900
For example, Airbnb's AI customer service system uses them.
18:23.900–18:27.440
Even Pinterest has been customizing QEN models for their usage.
18:27.440–18:33.480
Pinterest actually says it has reduced costs by as much as 90% in some workloads due to
18:33.480–18:34.960
such open-source models.
18:34.960–18:40.380
And Cursor, one of America's fastest-growing AI coding companies built its coding model,
18:40.380–18:45.940
Composer2, on the base model of Chinese company Moonshot AI's Kimi K2.5.
18:45.940–18:47.040
Listen to that again.
18:47.040–18:52.620
A top US AI company built its proprietary product on top of a Chinese foundation model.
18:52.620–18:56.460
Chinese models are no longer merely cheaper alternatives to American AI.
18:56.460–19:01.860
are becoming part of the infrastructure on which American companies themselves are building.
19:01.860–19:04.260
Reason 3 And this brings us to one of the biggest
19:04.260–19:07.604
reasons that Chinese models are succeeding so well.
19:07.604–19:09.960
It's because China made AI a national
19:09.960–19:11.014
mission. In 2017,
19:11.014–19:12.068
China's State Cou
19:12.068–19:15.580
ncil released the New Generation Artificial Intelligence
19:15.580–19:19.235
Development Plan. Its ambition was enormous. By 2030,
19:19.235–19:21.540
China wanted to become the world's
19:21.540–19:25.860
leading center for AI innovation. Universities expanded AI and
19:25.860–19:27.780
computer science programs.
19:27.780–19:31.236
Governments funded laboratories and research projects.
19:31.236–19:33.140
Cities and provinces created AI
19:33.140–19:36.523
innovation zones where companies could access funding,
19:36.523–19:39.060
infrastructure and local policy support.
19:39.060–19:41.199
The plan even reached across borders.
19:41.199–19:44.340
Chinese researchers who had built their careers in labs
19:44.340–19:47.758
overseas were actively encouraged to come back home,
19:47.758–19:50.340
pulled in with grants, funding and a real
19:50.340–19:52.249
path to do their work in China. But
19:52.249–19:55.180
the best thing China did was to give major companies
19:55.180–19:58.516
specific roles in building national AI platforms.
19:58.516–20:01.620
In 2017, the Ministry of Science and Technology
20:01.620–20:07.600
selected Baidu to develop an open innovation platform for autonomous driving, Alibaba for
20:07.600–20:10.462
smart cities, Tencent for medical imaging, and
20:10.462–20:13.180
iFlytech for intelligent voice technology.
20:13.500–20:16.031
These companies were still private businesses, and
20:16.031–20:18.160
they continued competing fiercely with one
20:18.160–20:23.100
another. Yet they were all working in the same direction for the growth of China. So this brings
20:23.100–20:24.947
us to the last part of the case study.
20:24.947–20:27.780
What can the world learn from China's AI journey? Let's
20:27.780–20:29.426
just clarify one thing first.
20:29.426–20:32.980
China did everything in its power to get ahead in the AI race. Some
20:32.980–20:36.057
American companies claim Chinese labs use distillation.
20:36.057–20:38.380
This means using the answers of a stronger AI
20:38.380–20:40.274
model to help train a smaller one. Then
20:40.274–20:42.820
we know that there was smuggling done of restricted
20:42.820–20:45.357
Nvidia chips through black market routes.
20:45.357–20:48.740
The US charges a co-founder of Supermicro with illegally
20:48.740–20:52.756
diverting billions of dollars of Nvidia powered servers to China.
20:52.756–20:54.620
Some companies may have broken
20:54.620–20:56.630
rules and that should be investigated but
20:56.630–20:59.560
a few smuggled chips cannot build thousands of researchers,
20:59.940–21:02.558
large data centers, new engineering techniques,
21:02.558–21:05.300
cloud platforms and an ecosystem used by developers
21:05.300–21:08.330
around the world. Also China did not succeed because
21:08.330–21:10.740
of one shortcut. It also invested heavily
21:10.740–21:14.500
in research and found ways to make weaker hardware perform better.
21:14.500–21:15.440
The point is that
21:15.440–21:18.017
we should judge both sides by the same standard and
21:18.017–21:19.980
not dismiss all of China's progress as
21:19.980–21:20.980
theft.
21:20.980–21:24.433
Secondly, people think using Chinese AI is a threat to privacy,
21:24.433–21:25.540
they will steal data
21:25.540–21:27.842
and the models are censored by Beijing. But
21:27.842–21:30.080
the West is not far behind. ChatGPT trains
21:30.080–21:31.843
on your conversations by default.
21:31.843–21:34.760
Gemini merges your prompts with your Gmail, your YouTube
21:34.760–21:36.558
and your entire Google history.
21:36.558–21:39.820
Claude quietly changed its privacy policy and opted users
21:39.820–21:41.539
into 5 years of data retention.
21:41.539–21:44.580
The idea that Chinese AI is a threat and Western AI is the
21:44.580–21:46.440
safe choice is completely wrong.
21:46.440–21:47.306
With this in mind,
21:47.306–21:50.480
I have two major lessons that countries need to learn from China's
21:50.480–21:55.111
AI race. First, every country needs some control over its AI future.
21:55.111–21:56.980
Have you heard of sovereign
21:56.980–22:00.873
AI? It does not mean every country must build every chip and
22:00.873–22:02.700
every model by itself. That
22:02.700–22:04.700
would be too expensive and unrealistic for you.
22:06.045–22:10.401
least, a country should have enough of its own computing power,
22:10.401–22:12.045
research talent, data,
22:12.045–22:17.765
models and infrastructure that it is not completely dependent on another country. Today, most
22:17.765–22:22.325
advanced AI technology comes from either the United States or China.
22:22.325–22:27.705
But what happens if the US decides that only American companies can use its best models?
22:27.705–22:30.645
What happens if China makes the same decision?
22:30.645–22:34.945
Countries such as India could suddenly lose access to important technology because of
22:34.945–22:37.825
a political fight between two other countries.
22:37.825–22:40.162
And AI is no longer just a chatbot,
22:40.162–22:44.085
it is becoming part of education, healthcare, defense,
22:44.085–22:48.599
science, coding, manufacturing and almost every modern business.
22:48.599–22:50.025
A company with better
22:50.025–22:54.150
AI can work faster, reduce costs and compete more effectively.
22:54.150–22:55.785
A country without access
22:55.785–22:58.327
to advanced AI may slowly fall behind.
22:58.327–23:01.425
The biggest lesson from China is not that every
23:01.425–23:05.763
country should copy China's political system or its exact strategy.
23:05.763–23:06.885
The lesson is that
23:06.885–23:13.165
a country that depends completely on foreign AI will always be vulnerable to foreign decisions.
23:13.165–23:18.325
India and other countries need to build enough of their own AI ecosystem so they are not
23:18.325–23:21.285
trapped between the US and China.
23:21.285–23:25.107
Because the next major geopolitical blockade may not stop oil,
23:25.107–23:26.765
weapons or physical goods,
23:26.765–23:29.425
it may stop access to intelligence itself.
23:29.425–23:32.968
And second, AI leadership is not about one great chatbot,
23:32.968–23:34.665
it's about creating a whole
23:34.665–23:35.665
ecosystem.
23:35.665–23:40.025
When people talk about the AI race, they usually compare models.
23:40.025–23:41.785
Is ChatGPT better?
23:41.785–23:43.105
Is DeepSeek better?
23:43.105–23:46.009
which model scores higher on a benchmark. But
23:46.009–23:48.225
a model is only the visible part of a
23:48.225–23:52.129
much larger system. To build strong AI, a country also
23:52.129–23:54.905
needs chips to perform calculations,
23:54.905–23:57.161
electricity to power those chips, and
23:57.161–24:00.545
data centers to keep them running. It needs universities
24:00.545–24:04.322
to train engineers, research labs to invent new techniques,
24:04.322–24:06.025
cloud companies to provide
24:06.025–24:11.046
computing power, and businesses that can turn AI into useful products.
24:11.046–24:12.385
China worked on all
24:12.385–24:15.245
these areas at the same time. So now, if Europe,
24:15.245–24:17.885
India and other developing countries want
24:17.885–24:20.920
to secure their futures, they need to step up and
24:20.920–24:22.665
build such ecosystems too.
24:22.665–24:25.632
That was all about why China is winning the AI race and
24:25.632–24:27.385
what we can learn from them. For
24:27.385–24:30.804
more case studies that help you understand where AI is going,
24:30.804–24:32.145
who is gaining power and
24:32.145–24:34.552
where the next major opportunities will emerge,
24:34.552–24:36.725
subscribe to the channel and watch the video
24:36.725–24:38.356
on your screen next because
24:38.356–24:42.185
it explains another major shift happening in AI that most people
24:42.185–24:43.745
are still completely missing.
24:43.745–24:44.385
I'll see you there.
0:00.000–0:03.540
We're leading China. We're leading China by a lot. China knows that.
我們領先中國。我們大幅領先中國。中國很清楚這一點。
0:03.760–0:07.040
The race between America and China for AI dominance.
美國與中國在人工智慧主導權上的競賽。
0:07.140–0:09.208
There's only going to be one winner here, and
這裡只會有一個贏家,而且
0:09.208–0:11.220
that's probably going to be the US or China.
那很可能是美國或中國。
0:11.380–0:13.380
Who's winning? America or China?
誰在贏?美國還是中國?
0:13.960–0:17.740
China just beat America in the AI race. And the craziest part?
中國剛剛在人工智慧競賽中擊敗了美國。最瘋狂的部分是?
0:17.900–0:20.891
They're not only beating American AI globally, but
他們不僅在全球範圍內擊敗美國人工智慧,而且
0:20.891–0:22.560
also inside America itself.
甚至在美國本土也是如此。
0:22.780–0:27.860
Chinese AI models now account for nearly 60% of AI usage by US companies.
中國人工智慧模型現在佔美國公司人工智慧使用量的近60%。
0:27.860–0:32.220
Companies like Pinterest, Airbnb and Coinbase are already using them.
Pinterest、Airbnb 和 Coinbase 等公司已經在使用它們。
0:32.500–0:33.720
And it's easy to see why.
很容易看出為什麼。
0:34.040–0:35.680
Recently, Kimi K3 dropped.
最近,Kimi K3 發布了。
0:36.040–0:38.640
It's the world's largest open source AI model.
它是世界上最大的開源人工智慧模型。
0:38.960–0:43.580
It even beat GPT 5.6 and Fable 5 on some benchmarks.
它在某些基準測試中甚至擊敗了 GPT 5.6 和 Fable 5。
0:43.780–0:47.340
And demand exploded so fast that new signups had to be paused.
需求爆炸性地增長,以至於不得不暫停新註冊。
0:47.480–0:51.420
Now, Alibaba is releasing an equally powerful QEN 3.8.
現在,阿里巴巴正在發布同樣強大的 Qwen 3.8。
0:51.500–0:53.100
And you can use them all for free.
而且你可以免費使用它們。
0:53.240–0:55.120
But that's not even the biggest surprise.
但這甚至不是最大的驚喜。
0:55.120–0:56.344
Just a few years ago,
就在幾年前,
0:56.344–0:57.640
the United States blo
美國阻擋中國購買全球最先進的AI晶片與機器
0:57.640–0:58.936
cked China from buyin
止了中國購買
0:58.936–1:01.960
g the world's most advanced AI chips and machines.
世界上最先進的人工智慧晶片和機器。
1:02.060–1:05.680
NVIDIA is trying to unlock those advanced chip sales in China,
輝達(NVIDIA)正試圖解鎖在中國的先進晶片銷售,
1:06.000–1:08.900
but the Chinese government wants to encourage domestic production.
但中國政府希望鼓勵國內生產
1:09.320–1:12.600
The country with the best AI doesn't just build better chatbots.
擁有最佳人工智慧的國家不僅會打造更好的聊天機器人。
1:12.800–1:15.703
It also builds better weapons, better cyber security,
它還會打造更好的武器、更好的網路安全,
1:15.703–1:17.280
better scientific research,
更好的科學研究,
1:17.580–1:19.560
and eventually a stronger economy.
以及最終更強大的經濟。
1:19.840–1:22.720
Which means AI is no longer just a technology race.
這意味著人工智慧不再只是一場技術競賽。
1:22.720–1:24.540
It's a race for global power.
它是一場全球權力的競賽。
1:24.540–1:28.620
And when the world's biggest superpower feels the next best country is catching up,
當世界上最大的超級強國感到下一個最佳國家正在追趕時,
1:28.880–1:31.880
it doesn't just compete, it changes the rules of the game.
它不僅僅是競爭,它改變了遊戲規則。
1:32.140–1:37.127
The main priority is to strategically become independent of NVIDIA and
主要優先事項是戰略性地獨立於輝達(NVIDIA)和
1:37.127–1:39.620
other Western manufactured chips.
其他西方製造的晶片。
1:39.820–1:40.829
In October 2022,
在 2022 年 10 月,
1:40.829–1:41.838
the United State
美國
1:41.838–1:42.776
s blocked China
阻止中國
1:42.776–1:46.380
from buying the world's most advanced AI chips from NVIDIA.
購買來自輝達(NVIDIA)的世界最先進人工智慧晶片。
1:46.700–1:50.600
The logic was simple. No advanced chips meant weaker AI models,
邏輯很簡單。沒有先進晶片意味著較弱的人工智慧模型,
1:50.920–1:53.480
and weaker AI models meant China would fall behind.
而較弱的人工智慧模型意味著中國會落後。
1:53.480–1:56.920
But this did not stop China or even slow them down.
但這並未阻止中國,甚至沒有減緩他們的腳步。
1:57.160–1:58.835
A few short years later, today,
短短幾年後的今天,
1:58.835–2:02.120
China is not only building some of the world's best AI models,
中國不僅正在打造全球最頂尖的 AI 模型,
2:02.280–2:04.520
it's giving most of them to the public for free.
還將大多數模型免費提供給公眾使用。
2:04.760–2:06.260
So how did China manage this?
那麼中國是如何做到的呢?
2:06.520–2:11.000
How did it turn such a setback into one of the biggest AI comeback stories ever?
它如何將這樣的挫折轉化為史上最重大的 AI 逆襲故事之一?
2:11.300–2:15.200
Before we begin, I put a cheat sheet of all the best Chinese AI tools
在開始之前,我在名為「Stay Ahead」的 WhatsApp 社群中,
2:15.200–2:19.060
and how to use them for free in my WhatsApp community called Staying Ahead.
整理了一份所有最佳中國 AI 工具及其免費使用方法的速查表。
2:19.360–2:20.960
Grab it from the link in the description.
請從描述中的連結獲取。
2:21.340–2:22.580
Now let's dive into the video.
現在讓我們深入影片內容。
2:23.480–2:30.680
When ChatGPT launched in late 2022, it kicked off a global AI race.
當 ChatGPT 於 2022 年底推出時,引發了全球 AI 競賽。
2:30.680–2:33.680
ChatGPT. ChatGPT. ChatGPT.
[未翻譯]
2:33.680–2:35.480
It's been held as a game changer.
它被視為改變遊戲規則的存在。
2:35.480–2:39.303
Every country suddenly wanted to build the smartest AI model,
每個國家突然都想打造最聰明的 AI 模型,
2:39.303–2:40.920
but there was one problem.
但存在一個問題。
2:41.260–2:43.860
Training AI isn't like running an app on your laptop.
訓練 AI 不像在筆記型電腦上運行應用程式那樣簡單。
2:44.220–2:47.688
An AI model has to process billions of pieces of data until
AI 模型必須處理數十億筆資料,直到
2:47.688–2:50.000
the model gradually learns patterns.
模型逐漸學習到模式。
2:50.000–2:58.380
That requires enormous computing power which comes from thousands of specialized AI chips working together inside massive data centers.
這需要巨大的運算能力,來自於大型資料中心內數千個專門 AI 晶片協同運作。
2:58.720–3:01.305
To simply explain chips for those who don't know,
為了讓不了解的人簡單說明晶片,
3:01.305–3:03.764
they are parts of a computer that do all the thin
它們是電腦中負責所有思考
3:03.764–3:05.340
king and calculations for AI.
和計算的部分,用於 AI。
3:05.740–3:10.380
And there were just three companies that controlled almost everything needed to make those chips.
而幾乎所有製造這些晶片所需的關鍵環節,都由三家公司控制。
3:10.580–3:13.180
First was Nvidia which designs these chips.
首先是設計這些晶片的 Nvidia。
3:13.700–3:15.860
TSMC in Taiwan manufactured them.
台灣的 TSMC(台積電)負責製造。
3:15.860–3:17.599
And ASML, a Dutch company,
而荷蘭公司 ASML,
3:17.599–3:19.418
built the incredibly compl
製造了製造這些晶片所需的極度複雜
3:19.418–3:22.580
ex machines needed to manufacture those chips.
製造這些晶片所需的設備。
3:22.900–3:25.020
And all these were controlled by the US.
而這些都受到美國的控制。
3:25.220–3:27.166
At this point, you might be wondering,
到這裡,你可能會想問,
3:27.166–3:29.052
if two of these companies aren't even
如果這三家公司中有兩家甚至
3:29.052–3:31.120
American, how could the US control them?
不是美國公司,美國如何控制它們?
3:31.620–3:35.040
The answer lies in something called the Foreign Direct Product Rule.
答案在於所謂的「外國直接產品規則」(Foreign Direct Product Rule)。
3:35.320–3:36.938
It was started in 1959 and
該規則始於 1959 年,
3:36.938–3:41.560
essentially says that if a product was made using American technology,
本質上規定,如果產品是使用美國技術製造的,
3:41.560–3:45.140
the US government has the power to stop it from being sold.
美國政府有權禁止其銷售
3:45.140–3:48.140
and this includes products made in a foreign country.
這包括在外國製造的產品。
3:48.520–3:51.981
And since TSMC and ASML rely on American technology,
由於 TSMC 和 ASML 依賴美國技術、
3:51.981–3:54.420
software and intellectual property
軟體和智慧財產權
3:54.420–3:56.004
to build their products,
來製造它們的產品,
3:56.004–4:00.000
the US has the leverage to cut them off from the tools they need to
美國有權切斷他們獲得生存所需工具的途徑,
4:00.000–4:03.324
survive and shut their companies down. So in simple words,
並讓他們的企業停業。簡單來說,
4:03.324–4:05.020
America doesn't just make the
美國不僅製造
4:05.020–4:08.946
world's best AI chips, it controls who could buy them.
全球最好的 AI 晶片,還控制著誰能購買。
4:08.946–4:12.000
And in 2022, it decided China shouldn't be
而在 2022 年,美國決定不允許中國
4:12.000–4:14.280
allowed to buy them. First, Huawei and
購買這些晶片。首先,華為和
4:14.280–4:17.700
dozens of other Chinese companies were placed on a banned
數十家其他中國企業被列入禁令
4:17.700–4:21.958
list, making it extremely difficult for them to buy American technology.
被列入名單,使得它們購買美國科技變得極為困難
4:21.958–4:23.400
Then the US banned NVIDIA
隨後,美國禁止輝達
4:23.400–4:26.664
from exporting its most powerful AI chip then,
向中國出口其最強大的 AI 晶片,當時
4:26.664–4:30.180
the H100, to China. It also stopped companies from
的型號是 H100。美國還阻止企業
4:30.180–4:34.289
selling China the advanced machines needed to manufacture those chips.
向中國出售製造這些晶片所需的先進設備。
4:34.289–4:35.300
China wasn't just
中國不僅
4:35.300–4:37.879
blocked from buying the world's best AI hardware,
被禁止購買全球最好的 AI 硬體,
4:37.879–4:40.520
it was also blocked from building it. The situation
它也被禁止自行製造。這種情況
4:40.520–4:43.727
was so bad that Nvidia had to create a slightly weaker chip.
嚴重到輝達不得不創建一款性能稍弱的晶片。
4:43.727–4:45.560
And we return now to breaking news
現在讓我們回到輝達的突發新聞。
4:45.560–4:51.540
from Nvidia. Nvidia reportedly plans to release a downgraded version of H20 that could legally
據報道,輝達計劃推出一款降級版的 H20,可以合法
4:51.540–4:54.836
be sold to China. So as you see, by every logical measure,
銷售給中國。所以你看,從任何邏輯標準來看,
4:54.836–4:57.080
China should have fallen behind in the
中國應該已經在
4:57.080–5:00.781
AI. Most experts agree that China is still a little behind the US.
AI 領域落後。大多數專家同意中國仍略遜於美國。
5:00.781–5:02.220
If there's anything that
如果有任何事情
5:02.220–5:03.895
you think people could agree on,
大家能達成共識,
5:03.895–5:07.060
it would be that the most advanced AI technology does not go to
那就是最先進的 AI 技術不會流向
5:07.060–5:10.541
China. It is very plausible that if we get this policy wrong,
中國。如果我們政策失當,這是非常可能發生的
5:10.541–5:12.700
China could be overtaking the United
中國有可能超越美國
5:12.700–5:16.483
States. But instead, they turned the situation around.
,這是非常合理的。但相反,他們逆轉了局勢。
5:16.483–5:19.140
Let me show you how. Problem one, chips.
讓我展示一下如何做到的。第一個問題,晶片。
5:19.460–5:21.290
The first problem was obvious.
第一個問題很明顯。
5:21.290–5:24.740
China could no longer buy the world's best AI chips from not
中國再也無法從不僅是輝達,
5:24.740–5:28.459
only Nvidia, but also microchips for phones from Samsung,
還有三星、聯發科和高通那裡購買全球最好的 AI 晶片,
5:28.459–5:31.040
MediaTek, and Qualcomm. And these chips
以及手機用的微晶片。這些晶片
5:31.040–5:33.824
were being used to bring phones into the 5G era.
正被用於將手機帶入 5G 時代。
5:33.824–5:36.680
Everyone thought Huawei and Chinese companies
大家都認為華為和中國企業
5:36.680–5:38.794
would be stuck in 4G era because
將被困在 4G 時代,因為
5:38.794–5:42.940
the ultra expensive machines were only with US and US allies.
那些超昂貴的設備只掌握在美國及其盟友手中。
5:43.340–5:46.352
But in 2023, Huawei made the Ascent chips,
但在 2023 年,華為推出了昇騰晶片,
5:46.352–5:49.880
put them in its smartphone Mate 60 Pro and shocked
將其放入其智能手機 Mate 60 Pro 中,並通過
5:49.880–5:52.441
the world by connecting their phones to 5G.
將手機連接至 5G 網絡震驚了世界。
5:52.441–5:55.500
To show you how significant that is, even Apple took
為了展示這有多麼重要,甚至蘋果也花了
5:55.500–5:58.807
very long to make its own chips to stop paying Qualcomm.
蘋果花了很長時間才製造出自己的晶片,以停止向高通付費。
5:58.807–6:01.180
Now, behind that achievement was SMIC,
而這項成就背後的關鍵是中芯國際(SMIC)。
6:01.180–6:03.551
China's largest semiconductor manufacturer.
它是中國最大的半導體製造商。
6:03.551–6:06.040
Even without access to the world's best machines,
即使無法取得全球最頂級的設備,
6:06.220–6:10.868
SMIC, found ways to manufacture advanced chips using older equipment.
中芯國際仍找到方法,利用較舊的設備製造先進晶片。
6:10.868–6:12.340
It wasn't as efficient
它的效率並不高
6:12.340–6:14.398
or as cheap as TSMC, but it worked.
不如台積電高,成本也不具優勢,但確實可行。
6:14.398–6:18.220
China wasn't trying to build the world's best chip overnight.
中國並非試圖在一夜之間製造出全球最頂級的晶片。
6:18.580–6:22.423
It was trying to make sure it no longer depended on someone else's.
它旨在確保自己不再依賴他人的晶片。
6:22.423–6:23.960
Problem 2, make every chip
問題二:讓每顆晶片
6:23.960–6:28.227
work harder. But building domestic chips was only part of the solution.
發揮更大效能。然而,製造國產晶片只是解決方案的一部分。
6:28.227–6:29.720
China's chips were still
中國的晶片仍然
6:29.720–6:31.247
slower than Nvidia's and
比輝達(Nvidia)的晶片慢,
6:31.247–6:35.320
US export restrictions made those chips very difficult to access.
且美國出口管制使得這些晶片極難取得。
6:35.320–6:37.723
China was in an unfair position. So first,
中國處於不利地位。因此,首先,
6:37.723–6:40.400
they tried to bypass the restrictions through
他們試圖透過
6:40.400–6:43.561
smuggling from places such as Malaysia, Japan and
從馬來西亞、日本等地走私
6:43.561–6:46.120
Hong Kong. Some even used human couriers
香港等地走私來規避限制。甚至有人使用人肉快遞
6:46.120–6:47.524
to smuggle in chips.
來走私晶片。
6:47.524–6:51.820
A student was paid $100 for each of the six chips he carried from
一名學生從新加坡攜帶六枚晶片到中國,每枚晶片獲得一百美元的報酬
6:51.820–6:54.850
Singapore to China in his luggage. But eventually,
新加坡攜帶六顆晶片到中國,僅需放在行李中,就能獲得100美元報酬。但最終,
6:54.850–6:57.740
all this barely scratched the surface in helping
這些做法對推動中國人工智慧產業發展而言,僅僅是冰山一角
6:57.740–6:59.617
China grow its AI industry. So
中國發展人工智慧產業而言,幾乎只是杯水車薪。因此,
6:59.617–7:03.520
Chinese engineers asked a different question instead of just
中國工程師提出了不同的問題:與其只是
7:03.520–7:06.437
building bigger computers with better chips.
建造擁有更好晶片的更大電腦,
7:06.437–7:08.980
What if we build smarter AI? This is where
我們能否建構更聰明的AI?正是在這裡,
7:08.980–7:12.561
companies like DeepSeek completely changed the conversation.
像深度求索(DeepSeek)這樣的企業徹底改變了對話方向。
7:12.561–7:14.020
DeepSeek used a technique
深度求索採用了一種
7:14.020–7:15.792
called mixture of experts.
稱為「專家混合」(mixture of experts)的技術。
7:15.792–7:19.720
Let me explain this using an oversimplified example. Say you
讓我用一個過度簡化的例子來解釋。假設你
7:19.720–7:22.633
have a company of 200 people and on a particular day when
擁有一間200人的公司,而在某一天,當
7:22.633–7:24.660
you want to solve a marketing problem,
你想要解決行銷問題時,
7:24.660–7:26.618
you don't call everyone into the meeting.
你不會召集所有人開會。
7:26.618–7:28.520
You only call the marketing team, right?
你只會召集行銷團隊,對吧?
7:28.860–7:31.487
Previous AI models often worked differently.
以往的AI模型運作方式往往不同。
7:31.487–7:33.980
Every time you asked a question, the AI would
每次你提出問題,AI都會
7:33.980–7:35.735
call the whole team. Basically,
召集整個團隊。基本上,
7:35.735–7:39.180
the whole model would calculate the answer. That required huge
整個模型都會運算答案。這需要龐大
7:39.180–7:42.530
amounts of power and made each response more expensive.
的運算能力,並使每次回應的成本更高。
7:42.530–7:44.740
To address this, American companies
為了解決這個問題,美國公司
7:44.740–7:48.019
like OpenAI explored the use of a mixture of experts,
像 OpenAI 這樣的公司探索了混合專家(Mixture of Experts)技術的使用,
7:48.019–7:50.180
which basically divided the model
這基本上將模型進行了分割
7:50.180–7:52.820
into multiple specialized expert clusters.
分割成多個專門的專家叢集。
7:53.220–7:56.820
However, DeepSeq engineers took this concept to the next level.
然而,DeepSeq 的工程師將這個概念提升到了另一個層次。
7:57.160–8:00.000
Instead of dividing the model into dozens of expert clusters,
他們沒有將模型分割成數十個專家叢集,
8:00.000–8:02.857
Instead of dividing the model into dozens of expert clusters,
他們沒有將模型分割成數十個專家叢集,
8:02.857–8:04.120
they sliced it into 256 tiny
而是將其切分成 256 個微小的
8:04.120–8:06.515
hyper-specialized experts. So when
超專門化專家。因此,當
8:06.515–8:10.920
you ask DeepSeq to solve a coding problem, an ultra-efficient route
你要求 DeepSeq 解決編碼問題時,一條超高效的途徑
8:10.920–8:15.326
instantly kicks in and activates just eight of those tiny experts.
會立即啟動,並只激活這八個微小專家。
8:15.326–8:16.900
The rest stayed asleep.
其餘的則保持休眠。
8:16.900–8:20.418
That means DeepSeek can produce strong answers while
這意味著 DeepSeek 能夠產生優質的答案,同時
8:20.418–8:22.920
using far cheaper costs. Look at this.
使用更低的成本。看看這個。
8:22.920–8:26.537
While the best models of GPT and Claude cost $5 and
雖然 GPT 和 Claude 的最佳模型在輸入成本上分別每百萬個 token 需花費 5 美元和
8:26.537–8:29.360
$10 per million tokens in input costs,
輸入成本為每百萬個 token 10 美元,
8:29.360–8:33.516
respectively, the best model of DeepSeek costs only $0.
但 DeepSeek 的最佳模型僅需 0.
8:33.516–8:36.080
4. And while GPT and Claude cost $30
4 美元。而在輸出成本上,GPT 和 Claude 分別需花費 30
8:36.080–8:40.704
$50 respectively in output costs, DeepSeek only cost $0.
50 美元,DeepSeek 僅需 0.
8:40.704–8:42.920
87. But that wasn't all. The
87 美元。但這還不是全部。
8:42.920–8:45.485
Chinese didn't stop with their innovation there.
中國人並未在此止步於創新。
8:45.485–8:47.440
They also invented a technique called
他們還發明了一種稱為
8:47.440–8:49.974
Multi-Head Latent Attention or MLA.
多頭潛注意力(Multi-Head Latent Attention,簡稱 MLA)的技術。
8:49.974–8:53.980
To understand what this does, let's take another example.
要了解這技術的作用,讓我們再看一個例子。
8:53.980–8:57.785
Imagine you're talking to an AI about a 100-page document.
想像你正在與 AI 討論一份 100 頁的文件。
8:57.785–8:59.960
Every time you ask a new question,
每當你提出一個新問題,
8:59.960–9:05.020
the AI needs to remember the important details from everything it has already read. So it
AI 都需要記住它已讀取內容中的重要細節。因此它
9:05.020–9:08.400
It stores all this information in its temporary memory.
它將所有這些資訊儲存在其暫存記憶體中。
9:08.400–9:10.697
Engineers call this the key value cache, but
工程師稱之為鍵值快取(key value cache),但
9:10.697–9:13.180
you can simply think of it as the AI's short-term
你可以簡單地將其視為 AI 的短期
9:13.180–9:14.180
memory.
記憶體。
9:14.180–9:17.403
The longer the conversation gets, the more memory the AI needs,
對話越長,AI 所需的記憶體越多,
9:17.403–9:18.680
which makes it expensive
這使得運行成本
9:18.680–9:19.680
to run.
變得昂貴。
9:19.680–9:23.180
DeepSeq's technique, MLA, compresses that memory.
DeepSeq 的 MLA 技術壓縮了該記憶體。
9:23.180–9:25.593
Instead of storing every detail separately,
它不是分別儲存每個細節,
9:25.593–9:28.260
it creates a much smaller summary of the important
而是建立一個更小的重要資訊摘要,
9:28.260–9:32.200
information and uses that to answer future questions.
並利用該摘要來回答未來的問題。
9:32.200–9:38.300
It is similar to replacing 100 pages of information with a few pages of well-organized notes.
這類似於用幾頁組織良好的筆記取代 100 頁的資訊。
9:38.300–9:42.821
This reduces the model's short-term memory requirements by over 90%,
這將模型的短期記憶體需求降低了超過 90%,
9:42.821–9:44.200
allowing it to handle
使其能夠處理
9:44.200–9:48.260
longer conversations while using far less computing power.
更長的對話,同時使用遠少於的運算能力。
9:48.260–9:51.560
That makes the model cheaper and more efficient to run.
這使得模型的運行成本更低且效率更高。
9:51.560–9:53.751
So with all these incredible tricks,
因此,憑藉這些令人驚嘆的技巧,
9:53.751–9:56.860
DeepSeek managed to build a world-class AI model for
DeepSeek 成功打造了一個世界級的 AI 模型,
9:56.860–9:59.561
reportedly just under 6 million dollars while
據報僅耗資不到 600 萬美元,而
9:59.561–10:02.540
Anthropic and other large companies were spending
Anthropic 和其他大型公司則花費
10:02.540–10:05.578
billions of dollars to train their models. And
數十億美元來訓練他們的模型。而
10:05.578–10:08.460
if you look at the comparison of its V4 Pro Max
如果你將它的 V4 Pro Max
10:08.460–10:13.571
model with comparable launches back then like Opus 4.
模型與當時相當的發布如 Opus 4.
10:13.571–10:17.660
6 Max, GPT 5.4 and Gemini 3.1 Pro, you'll see
6 Max、GPT 5.4 和 Gemini 3.1 Pro,你會發現
10:17.660–10:20.003
that its performance is comparable. So
它的性能相當。所以
10:20.003–10:23.340
that was all about creating efficient software but this
這一切都是關於創建高效的軟件,但這
10:23.340–10:25.566
only solves half the problem because
只解決了一半的問題,因為
10:25.566–10:28.940
even the best software needs enough hardware from chips
即使最好的軟件也需要足夠的來自芯片的硬件
10:28.940–10:30.827
to data centers to train and
到資料中心,用於訓練和
10:30.827–10:35.340
run ai models on for those who don't know a data center is a physical
運行 AI 模型。對於那些不知道的人來說,資料中心是一個實體
10:35.340–10:38.289
facility that contains the servers and
存放伺服器且
10:38.289–10:42.220
ai chips that run websites apps cloud services and ai
運行網站、應用程式、雲端服務和 AI
10:42.220–10:46.140
models along with the storage networking backup power and
模型的 AI 晶片,以及儲存、網路、備用電源和
10:46.140–10:49.020
cooling systems needed to keep everything
維持一切運作所需的冷卻系統。因此,中國不僅缺乏尖端 AI 晶片,
10:49.020–10:53.298
running. And so China was not only short of cutting-edge AI chips,
運行。因此,中國不僅缺乏尖端 AI 晶片,
10:53.298–10:54.620
they also found that
他們還發現
10:54.620–10:58.044
the newly built data centers were actually underused.
新建的資料中心實際上利用率不足。
10:58.044–10:59.980
So China decided to treat its AI
因此,中國決定將其實體 AI
10:59.980–11:04.117
infrastructure in the same way a country treats roads or electricity,
基礎設施視為國家對道路或電力的管理方式,
11:04.117–11:05.660
as public infrastructure
作為公共基礎設施
11:05.660–11:06.835
that everyone can use.
供所有人使用。
11:06.835–11:08.010
The government is buil
政府正在建
11:08.010–11:11.040
ding something called the National Integrated Computing
建設計算能力稱為國家整合性運算
11:11.040–11:13.928
Power Network by 2030, or even earlier.
力網絡」,預計於 2030 年或更早完成。
11:13.928–11:18.040
To explain it simply, it built many large data centers in
簡單來說,它在土地較便宜、再生能源較豐富且具備大型設施空間的地區建設了許多大型資料中心
11:18.040–11:19.973
In regions where land was cheaper,
在土地成本較低的地區
11:19.973–11:23.040
renewable energy was more abundant and there was space
再生能源更為豐富,且擁有空間
11:23.040–11:24.500
for huge facilities.
供龐大設施使用
11:24.500–11:27.870
China then connected these centers to businesses and
中國隨後將這些中心透過高速光纖網路與企業和
11:27.870–11:30.640
cities through high-speed fiber networks,
透過高速光纖網路將這些中心與企業及城市連接起來
11:30.640–11:33.071
allowing businesses, universities and
讓企業、大學和研究機構能夠在需要時租用運算能力
11:33.071–11:36.360
researchers to rent computing power when they need it.
讓研究人員在需要時租用運算能力
11:36.360–11:38.380
Here is how it works using an example.
以下透過一個範例來說明其運作方式。
11:38.380–11:43.240
Imagine a small AI startup in Shanghai wants to train a new AI model.
想像上海一家小型 AI 新創公司想要訓練新的 AI 模型
11:43.240–11:44.972
Buying hundreds of GPUs and
購買數百張 GPU 並
11:44.972–11:48.360
building its own data center could cost a lot of money.
建立自己的資料中心可能會花費大量資金。
11:48.360–11:51.060
Instead, it can rent computing power online.
相反地,它可以線上租用運算能力。
11:51.060–11:53.479
The startup uploads its code and data and
新創公司上傳其程式碼和資料,並
11:53.479–11:55.400
chooses how much power it needs.
選擇所需的運算能力規模。
11:55.400–12:00.240
And the platform finds available chips in connected data centers possibly thousands
而平台會在可能相距數千公里的連線資料中心尋找可用的晶片
12:00.240–12:01.600
of kilometers away.
的連線資料中心中尋找可用的晶片。
12:01.600–12:04.162
Its engineers can monitor the training remotely and
工程師可以遠端監控訓練過程,並
12:04.162–12:06.200
download the finished model once the work
一旦工作完成,即可下載完成的模型
12:06.200–12:07.200
is complete.
下載完成的模型。
12:07.200–12:11.175
China has not built one fully connected national computing grid yet,
中國尚未建立完全連線的國家級運算網格,
12:11.175–12:12.340
but that is the goal.
但這是其目標。
12:12.340–12:16.280
computing power easier and cheaper to rent across the country.
讓運算能力在全國範圍內更容易、更便宜地租用。
12:16.280–12:19.600
This brings us to Problem Number 4 Training the Models
這帶我們來到問題四:訓練模型
12:19.600–12:25.180
Because even the smartest AI models are useless without enough data to train them. And for
因為即使是最聰明的 AI 模型,若沒有足夠的資料來訓練它們,也毫無用處。而對於
12:25.180–12:28.940
the next generation of AI, text alone is not enough.
下一代 AI 而言,僅有文字是不夠的。
12:28.940–12:31.709
Video models need to understand how people move,
影片模型需要理解人們如何移動、
12:31.709–12:34.140
how objects interact, and how the physical
物體如何互動,以及物理
12:34.140–12:39.380
world behaves. You cannot teach an AI what running looks like by only describing it in
世界的運作方式。你無法僅用文字描述來教導 AI 跑步的樣子。
12:39.380–12:43.147
words. It needs to watch millions of examples of different people,
文字
12:43.147–12:44.560
camera angles, lighting
攝影角度、照明
12:44.560–12:47.184
conditions, environments and movements.
條件、環境和動作的範例。
12:47.184–12:49.880
It needs to see how clothes move, how shadows
它需要看到衣服如何飄動、陰影
12:49.880–12:53.350
change and what happens when someone steps into a puddle.
如何變化,以及有人踩進水坑時會發生什麼事。
12:53.350–12:54.940
And this is where China has
而這正是中國
12:54.940–12:56.111
a major advantage.
擁有重大優勢的地方。
12:56.111–12:57.135
China has one of t
中國擁有全球最大
12:57.135–13:00.500
he largest digital ecosystems in the world. Platforms
擁有全球最大的數位生態系統之一。平台
13:00.500–13:02.831
like Douyin, WeChat, TikTok and
如抖音、微信、TikTok 和
13:02.831–13:07.060
other Chinese apps generate huge amounts of text, images,
其他中國應用程式每天產生海量的文字、圖片、
13:07.060–13:10.451
audio and video every day. For companies like ByteDance,
音訊和影片。對於擁有熱門 AI 平台
13:10.451–13:12.500
which owns the popular AI platform
即夢(C-Dance)的 ByteDance 等公司來說,這不僅是內容,更是寶貴的訓練資料。
13:12.500–13:17.054
C-Dance, this is not just content, it is valuable training data.
ByteDance 擁有抖音和 TikTok,
13:17.054–13:19.500
ByteDance owns Dooyan and TikTok,
以及多個用於創作、編輯和
13:19.500–13:22.314
along with several tools for creating, editing and
推薦影片的工具。這讓公司
13:22.314–13:24.800
recommending videos. This gives the company
能接觸到的不僅是影片本身。它還可以
13:24.800–13:28.052
access to more than just the video itself. It can also
不僅能接觸到影片本身,還能
13:28.052–13:29.900
study how people react to that
影片的反應,哪些片段人們會持續觀看,以及
13:29.900–13:32.475
video, which clips do people keep watching and
觀眾在什麼時刻失去興趣。
13:32.475–13:34.720
at what moment do viewers lose interest.
觀眾在什麼時刻會失去興趣
13:34.720–13:39.180
Now this does not mean ByteDance uses every private video to train its AI.
這並不意味著字節跳動會使用每一部私人影片來訓練其 AI。
13:39.180–13:42.188
We do not know exactly what data each company uses,
我們並不清楚每家公司具體使用了哪些數據,
13:42.188–13:44.480
but owning some of the world's largest
但擁有全球規模最大的
13:44.480–13:48.760
video platforms still gives Chinese companies a powerful advantage.
影片平台,仍賦予中國企業強大的優勢。
13:48.760–13:52.300
Because if chips are the engine of AI, data is the fuel.
因為如果晶片是 AI 的引擎,那麼數據就是燃料。
13:52.300–13:56.191
And China did not just use that fuel to build competitive AI models,
中國不僅利用這些燃料來打造具競爭力的 AI 模型,
13:56.191–13:57.720
it also started releasing
它還開始發布
13:57.720–13:59.220
many of them for free.
許多模型免費提供。
13:59.220–14:02.915
Today, models like DeepSeek, Quen by Alibaba,
今天,DeepSeek、阿里巴巴的 Qwen、
14:02.915–14:06.420
Kimi by Moonshot AI, and GLM models from Z.AI
月之暗面的 Kimi 以及智譜的 GLM 模型
14:06.420–14:09.560
are available completely free to download and run.
都可以完全免費下載和運行。
14:09.680–14:11.240
And this raises an obvious question.
這引發了一個顯而易見的問題。
14:11.560–14:14.040
Running AI companies can cost billions of dollars.
運營 AI 公司的成本可能高達數十億美元。
14:14.360–14:19.120
In fact, many major AI companies are still spending far more money than they earn.
事實上,許多大型 AI 公司花費的金額仍遠高於其收入。
14:19.120–14:23.260
So how can Chinese companies offer powerful AI models for free?
那麼,中國企業如何能免費提供強大的 AI 模型?
14:23.520–14:25.940
If users aren't paying these companies, who is?
如果用戶沒有向這些公司付費,誰在付錢?
14:25.940–14:30.100
The answer is that Chinese AI companies aren't really selling AI models.
答案是,中國 AI 公司並非真正地在銷售 AI 模型。
14:30.460–14:31.880
The model is only the entry point.
模型僅是一個入口。
14:32.000–14:33.180
They're selling something much bigger.
它們銷售的是更宏大的東西。
14:33.520–14:36.340
1. They're selling the ecosystem, not the model.
1. 它們銷售的是生態系統,而非模型。
14:36.740–14:37.480
Think about Google.
想想 Google。
14:37.840–14:39.500
Google gives away Chrome for free.
Google 免費提供 Chrome。
14:39.820–14:41.620
Not because browsers are cheap to build,
並非因為瀏覽器的開發成本低廉,
14:41.900–14:44.640
but because Chrome brings people into Google's ecosystem,
而是因為 Chrome 將用戶引入 Google 的生態系統,
14:45.000–14:47.306
where they eventually use advertising and
用戶最終會在該生態系統中使用廣告和
14:47.306–14:49.100
paid services like Google Cloud.
Google Cloud 等付費服務。
14:49.460–14:52.320
Chinese AI companies are following the same playbook.
中國 AI 公司正遵循相同的策略。
14:52.320–14:54.667
While Western companies like OpenAI and
而像 OpenAI 和
14:54.667–14:57.015
Anthropic primarily make money by selli
Anthropic 等西方公司主要通過銷售
14:57.015–14:59.500
ng access to their intelligence directly.
其智能服務的直接訪問權限來獲利不同。
14:59.840–15:04.040
You pay for a subscription or an API call or how many tokens you consume, right?
你需要訂閱、支付 API 調用費用,或根據消耗的 token 數量付費,對吧?
15:04.440–15:07.880
Chinese companies often make money later in the user journey.
中國公司通常在用戶旅程的後期獲利。
15:08.240–15:12.380
For example, Alibaba not only wants you to chat with their AI model, Quen,
例如,阿里巴巴不僅希望你與它們的 AI 模型 Qwen 進行對話,
15:12.780–15:14.391
it wants companies to build and
還希望企業在阿里雲上開發和
15:14.391–15:16.560
run their applications on Alibaba Cloud.
運行它們的應用程序。
15:16.560–15:20.035
Tencent, the company behind the super app WeChat,
超級應用微信背後的騰訊公司,
15:20.035–15:22.600
not only wants businesses to test its
不僅希望企業測試其
15:22.600–15:24.120
AI model, Hanuan.
AI 模型 Hunyuan。
15:24.120–15:27.990
It wants them to use Tencent Cloud, its enterprise software and
還希望它們使用騰訊雲、其企業軟件以及
15:27.990–15:30.180
the rest of its business ecosystem.
其餘的商業生態系統。
15:30.180–15:34.379
It needs GPU, servers, storage, security, monitoring,
它需要GPU、伺服器、儲存空間、安全性、監控、
15:34.379–15:36.880
technical support and engineers
技術支援和工程師
15:36.880–15:40.220
who can connect the AI to its existing systems.
能夠將AI連接到其現有系統。
15:40.220–15:42.410
That is where the real money can be made,
這才是真正能賺錢的地方,
15:42.410–15:44.800
whether it's cloud hosting, consulting or
無論是雲端託管、諮詢還是
15:44.800–15:46.878
even custom AI solutions. So
甚至是客製化AI解決方案。所以
15:46.878–15:50.860
right now the model may be cheap or even free to download
目前該模型可能便宜甚至免費下載
15:50.860–15:54.888
but everything required to operate it reliably at scale is not.
但可靠且大規模運行它所需的一切並非如此。
15:54.888–15:56.560
The model is not always the
模型並不總是
15:56.560–16:00.000
final product, it is the customer acquisition strategy.
最終產品,它是客戶獲取策略。
16:01.820–16:04.520
these models become paid later, because by then
這些模型後來會變成付費,因為到那時
16:04.520–16:06.680
many users may have no other option but
許多用戶可能別無選擇,只能
16:06.680–16:07.680
to pay.
付費。
16:07.680–16:09.945
Reason 2 Win with distribution Remember,
理由二:贏在分銷 記住,
16:09.945–16:12.080
China couldn't compete with America on
中國無法在頂尖模型方面與美國競爭,而 Anthropic 和 OpenAI 不斷創新,使用更好的晶片並取得領先。因此,中國反而
16:12.080–16:14.201
the top models that Anthropic and
Anthropic和
16:14.201–16:17.760
OpenAI were constantly innovating, using better chips
OpenAI不斷創新、使用更好晶片並取得領先的頂級模型上與美國競爭。因此中國改為
16:17.760–16:19.840
and coming out ahead. So China instead
決定贏在分銷,並使其產品
16:19.840–16:22.960
decided to win with distribution and make their products
決定透過分發來取勝,並讓產品
16:22.960–16:24.176
free and open weight.
這基本上意味著開發者可以下載訓練好的模型,
16:24.176–16:28.160
This basically means that developers can download the trained model,
在自己的電腦或伺服器上運行它,修改它並
16:28.160–16:31.804
run it on their own computers or servers, modify it and
為其自身用途進行微調。例如,
16:31.804–16:34.720
fine tune it for their own use. For example,
一家零售公司可以採用該模型並
16:34.720–16:37.016
a retail company could take the model and
通過教導其內部政策、
16:37.016–16:39.920
customize it by teaching it its internal policies,
產品目錄等來進行客製化,以便
16:39.920–16:41.479
product catalog and more so
它能準確處理客戶支援查詢。
16:41.479–16:44.800
it can accurately handle customer support queries for it.
這對公司是好事,但對中國公司來說也是
16:44.800–16:47.094
It's a win for companies but it's also
好事。如果數百萬開發者
16:47.094–16:50.720
a win for the Chinese companies. If millions of developers
這對中國公司來說也是一大贏。如果數百萬開發者
16:50.720–16:53.051
can freely experiment with your model,
他們開始在其之上構建應用程式。而且每次
16:53.051–16:56.160
they begin building apps on top of it. And every time a
開發者選擇你的模型而不是競爭對手的模型,
16:56.160–16:59.431
developer chooses your model instead of a competitor's,
他們就會投入時間學習它是如何運作的,
16:59.431–17:01.680
they invest time learning how it works,
圍繞它編寫程式碼並將其整合到他們的系統中。
17:01.680–17:04.976
writing code around it and integrating it into their systems.
撰寫程式碼並將其整合至他們的系統中
17:04.976–17:06.560
That makes them less likely to
切換。這就像如果你投入時間和
17:06.560–17:09.360
switch. It's like if you invested time and
精力在Twitter上並建立了10萬粉絲,
17:09.360–17:12.640
effort on Twitter and built a 100,000 following,
你就不太可能切換到Threads。同樣地,
17:12.640–17:15.411
you're less likely to switch to threads. Similarly,
你比較不會轉向 Threads。同樣地,
17:15.411–17:17.300
it works for developers using these
模型的開發者來說也是如此。其次,
17:17.300–17:18.447
models. Secondly,
模型。其次,
17:18.447–17:19.522
researchers will
研究人員將
17:19.522–17:22.820
be able to effortlessly study these models and publish
能夠毫不費力地研究這些模型,並發表
17:22.820–17:26.039
improvements or techniques that others can reuse.
其他人可以重複使用的改進或技術。
17:26.039–17:28.660
Over time, this creates a network effect.
隨著時間推移,這會產生網絡效應。
17:28.660–17:31.487
The more people use the model, the more tools,
使用該模型的人越多,
17:31.487–17:34.240
tutorials and expertise exist around it. It
圍繞它的教程和專業知識也隨之存在。它
17:34.240–17:39.180
That is the same basic reason Android became the world's largest mobile operating system.
教程和專業知識就越多。這就是安卓成為全球最大行動作業系統的基本原因。
17:39.180–17:41.948
Google allowed thousands of manufacturers and
谷歌允許數千家製造商和
17:41.948–17:44.440
millions of developers to build around it.
數百萬開發者在其周圍進行開發。
17:44.440–17:47.067
And once enough, people are building on your platform,
一旦有足夠多的人在你的平台上進行開發,
17:47.067–17:48.780
your ecosystem can grow faster than
你的生態系統就能比
17:48.780–17:50.300
any single competitor.
任何單一競爭對手成長得更快。
17:50.300–17:53.280
That strategy is already working for Chinese companies.
這種策略對中國公司已經奏效。
17:53.280–17:57.080
Look at this chart that's showing the world's top 50 most used AI models.
看看這張顯示全球使用量前50大AI模型的圖表。
17:57.080–18:00.880
You'll see that Chinese models are rapidly gaining market share.
你會發現中國模型正在迅速佔據市場份額。
18:00.880–18:04.140
And when it comes to the top 20 AI models in the world,
而在全球前20大AI模型中,
18:04.140–18:05.960
between May and June of 2026,
2026年5月至6月期間,
18:05.960–18:10.760
the monthly token usage of Chinese AI models has surpassed the US models.
中國AI模型的每月token使用量已超過美國模型。
18:10.760–18:12.960
But let's look at more specific examples.
但讓我們看看更具體的例子。
18:12.960–18:17.580
Alibaba's QEN models surpassed 1 billion total downloads this year.
阿里巴巴的QEN模型今年總下載量突破10億次。
18:17.580–18:19.900
Many large US companies also use it.
許多大型美國公司也在使用它。
18:19.900–18:23.900
For example, Airbnb's AI customer service system uses them.
例如,Airbnb的AI客服系統就使用了它們。
18:23.900–18:27.440
Even Pinterest has been customizing QEN models for their usage.
甚至Pinterest也在為其用途自訂QEN模型。
18:27.440–18:33.480
Pinterest actually says it has reduced costs by as much as 90% in some workloads due to
Pinterest 實際表示,由於採用這些開源模型,其在部分工作負載上的成本已降低高達 90%
18:33.480–18:34.960
such open-source models.
這類開源模型,其在某些工作負載上的成本降低了高達90%。
18:34.960–18:40.380
And Cursor, one of America's fastest-growing AI coding companies built its coding model,
而美國成長最快的AI編碼公司之一Cursor,將其編碼模型
18:40.380–18:45.940
Composer2, on the base model of Chinese company Moonshot AI's Kimi K2.5.
Composer2建立在中國公司Moonshot AI的Kimi K2.5基礎模型之上。
18:45.940–18:47.040
Listen to that again.
再聽一次這句話
18:47.040–18:52.620
A top US AI company built its proprietary product on top of a Chinese foundation model.
一家頂級美國AI公司在中國基礎模型之上構建了其專屬產品。
18:52.620–18:56.460
Chinese models are no longer merely cheaper alternatives to American AI.
中國模型不再僅僅是美國AI的便宜替代品。
18:56.460–19:01.860
are becoming part of the infrastructure on which American companies themselves are building.
它們正成為美國公司自身進行開發的基礎設施的一部分。
19:01.860–19:04.260
Reason 3 And this brings us to one of the biggest
原因三,這也帶出了中國模型之所以如此成功的一大關鍵
19:04.260–19:07.604
reasons that Chinese models are succeeding so well.
中國模型如此成功的原因之一。
19:07.604–19:09.960
It's because China made AI a national
這是因為中國將AI定為國家
19:09.960–19:11.014
mission. In 2017,
任務。2017年,
19:11.014–19:12.068
China's State Cou
中國國務院
19:12.068–19:15.580
ncil released the New Generation Artificial Intelligence
國務院發布新一代人工智慧
19:15.580–19:19.235
Development Plan. Its ambition was enormous. By 2030,
發展規劃。其抱負巨大。到2030年,
19:19.235–19:21.540
China wanted to become the world's
中國希望成為全球
19:21.540–19:25.860
leading center for AI innovation. Universities expanded AI and
AI創新領先中心。大學擴大了AI和
19:25.860–19:27.780
computer science programs.
電腦科學課程。
19:27.780–19:31.236
Governments funded laboratories and research projects.
政府資助實驗室和研究專案。
19:31.236–19:33.140
Cities and provinces created AI
各城市與省份設立了人工智慧
19:33.140–19:36.523
innovation zones where companies could access funding,
創新園區,讓企業能夠獲得資金、
19:36.523–19:39.060
infrastructure and local policy support.
基礎設施與地方政策支援。
19:39.060–19:41.199
The plan even reached across borders.
該計畫甚至跨越了國界。
19:41.199–19:44.340
Chinese researchers who had built their careers in labs
那些在海外實驗室建立事業的
19:44.340–19:47.758
overseas were actively encouraged to come back home,
中國研究人員受到積極鼓勵回國,
19:47.758–19:50.340
pulled in with grants, funding and a real
透過補助金、資金以及
19:50.340–19:52.249
path to do their work in China. But
在中國開展工作的實際途徑吸引他們。但
19:52.249–19:55.180
the best thing China did was to give major companies
中國所做的最好的一件事,就是賦予大型企業
19:55.180–19:58.516
specific roles in building national AI platforms.
在建設國家人工智慧平台方面的特定角色。
19:58.516–20:01.620
In 2017, the Ministry of Science and Technology
2017年,科技部
20:01.620–20:07.600
selected Baidu to develop an open innovation platform for autonomous driving, Alibaba for
選定百度開發自主駕駛的開放創新平台、阿里巴巴負責
20:07.600–20:10.462
smart cities, Tencent for medical imaging, and
智慧城市、騰訊負責醫學影像,以及
20:10.462–20:13.180
iFlytech for intelligent voice technology.
科大訊飛負責智慧語音技術。
20:13.500–20:16.031
These companies were still private businesses, and
這些公司仍為私營企業,且
20:16.031–20:18.160
they continued competing fiercely with one
它們繼續彼此激烈競爭。然而,它們都朝向同一個方向努力,以促進中國的發展。因此,這帶我們
20:18.160–20:23.100
another. Yet they were all working in the same direction for the growth of China. So this brings
另一家。然而,它們都朝向中國成長的同一方向努力。因此,這引導我們
20:23.100–20:24.947
us to the last part of the case study.
世界能從中國的人工智慧歷程中學到什麼?讓我們
20:24.947–20:27.780
What can the world learn from China's AI journey? Let's
世界能從中國的人工智慧發展歷程中學到什麼?讓我們
20:27.780–20:29.426
just clarify one thing first.
中國已竭盡所能,在人工智慧競賽中搶先。一些
20:29.426–20:32.980
China did everything in its power to get ahead in the AI race. Some
美國公司聲稱中國實驗室使用知識蒸餾技術。
20:32.980–20:36.057
American companies claim Chinese labs use distillation.
這意味著利用更強大的人工智慧
20:36.057–20:38.380
This means using the answers of a stronger AI
模型的解答,來協助訓練較小的模型。然後
20:38.380–20:40.274
model to help train a smaller one. Then
我們知道,有透過黑市管道走私受限的
20:40.274–20:42.820
we know that there was smuggling done of restricted
我們知道有進行受限
20:42.820–20:45.357
Nvidia chips through black market routes.
美國指控超微(Supermicro)的聯合創始人非法
20:45.357–20:48.740
The US charges a co-founder of Supermicro with illegally
將數十億美元的輝達伺服器轉運至中國。
20:48.740–20:52.756
diverting billions of dollars of Nvidia powered servers to China.
將數十億美元的英偉達伺服器轉運至中國。
20:52.756–20:54.620
Some companies may have broken
規則,這應該被調查,但
20:54.620–20:56.630
rules and that should be investigated but
少數走私的晶片無法造就數千名研究人員、
20:56.630–20:59.560
a few smuggled chips cannot build thousands of researchers,
僅靠少量走私晶片,是無法造就數千名研究人員的
20:59.940–21:02.558
large data centers, new engineering techniques,
雲端平台以及全球開發者使用的生態系統。此外,中國的成功並非因為
21:02.558–21:05.300
cloud platforms and an ecosystem used by developers
雲端平台以及開發者所使用的生態系
21:05.300–21:08.330
around the world. Also China did not succeed because
研究,並找到讓較弱硬體表現更好的方法。
21:08.330–21:10.740
of one shortcut. It also invested heavily
並非靠捷徑成功,也大量投資
21:10.740–21:14.500
in research and found ways to make weaker hardware perform better.
我們應該以相同的標準來評判雙方,並且
21:14.500–21:15.440
The point is that
重點在於
21:15.440–21:18.017
we should judge both sides by the same standard and
我們應該以相同的標準來評估雙方,並且
21:18.017–21:19.980
not dismiss all of China's progress as
不要將中國的所有進步都視為
21:19.980–21:20.980
theft.
竊取。
21:20.980–21:24.433
Secondly, people think using Chinese AI is a threat to privacy,
其次,人們認為使用中國 AI 會威脅隱私,
21:24.433–21:25.540
they will steal data
他們會竊取數據
21:25.540–21:27.842
and the models are censored by Beijing. But
而且模型受到北京審查。但
21:27.842–21:30.080
the West is not far behind. ChatGPT trains
西方也不遑多讓。ChatGPT 預設會訓練
21:30.080–21:31.843
on your conversations by default.
預設情況下會根據你的對話進行訓練
21:31.843–21:34.760
Gemini merges your prompts with your Gmail, your YouTube
Gemini 會將你的提示詞與你的 Gmail、YouTube
21:34.760–21:36.558
and your entire Google history.
以及你所有的 Google 歷史記錄合併。
21:36.558–21:39.820
Claude quietly changed its privacy policy and opted users
Claude 悄悄更改了隱私政策,並將用戶
21:39.820–21:41.539
into 5 years of data retention.
默認為保留數據 5 年。
21:41.539–21:44.580
The idea that Chinese AI is a threat and Western AI is the
認為中國 AI 是威脅而西方 AI 是安全選擇的想法
21:44.580–21:46.440
safe choice is completely wrong.
認為中國 AI 是威脅而西方 AI 是安全選擇的觀念完全錯誤。
21:46.440–21:47.306
With this in mind,
基於此,
21:47.306–21:50.480
I have two major lessons that countries need to learn from China's
我有兩個主要教訓,各國需要從中國的
21:50.480–21:55.111
AI race. First, every country needs some control over its AI future.
AI 競賽中學習。首先,每個國家都需要對其 AI 未來有一定的控制權。
21:55.111–21:56.980
Have you heard of sovereign
你聽過主權
21:56.980–22:00.873
AI? It does not mean every country must build every chip and
AI 嗎?這並不意味著每個國家都必須自行製造所有晶片和
22:00.873–22:02.700
every model by itself. That
每個國家不必自己開發所有模型。那
22:02.700–22:04.700
would be too expensive and unrealistic for you.
對你們來說太昂貴且不切實際。
22:06.045–22:10.401
least, a country should have enough of its own computing power,
至少,一個國家應該擁有足夠的自有運算能力、
22:10.401–22:12.045
research talent, data,
研究人才、數據、
22:12.045–22:17.765
models and infrastructure that it is not completely dependent on another country. Today, most
模型和基礎設施,使其不會完全依賴另一個國家。今天,大多數
22:17.765–22:22.325
advanced AI technology comes from either the United States or China.
先進的人工智慧技術來自美國或中國。
22:22.325–22:27.705
But what happens if the US decides that only American companies can use its best models?
但如果美國決定只有美國公司才能使用其最佳模型,會發生什麼事?
22:27.705–22:30.645
What happens if China makes the same decision?
如果中國做出同樣的決定,會發生什麼事?
22:30.645–22:34.945
Countries such as India could suddenly lose access to important technology because of
印度等國家可能會突然失去對重要技術的訪問權,因為
22:34.945–22:37.825
a political fight between two other countries.
另外兩個國家之間的政治鬥爭。
22:37.825–22:40.162
And AI is no longer just a chatbot,
而且 AI 不再只是聊天機器人,
22:40.162–22:44.085
it is becoming part of education, healthcare, defense,
它正成為教育、醫療保健、國防、
22:44.085–22:48.599
science, coding, manufacturing and almost every modern business.
科學、編碼、製造業和幾乎所有現代業務的一部分。
22:48.599–22:50.025
A company with better
擁有更優越
22:50.025–22:54.150
AI can work faster, reduce costs and compete more effectively.
AI 的公司可以工作得更快、降低成本並更具競爭力。
22:54.150–22:55.785
A country without access
無法取得先進人工智慧的国家
22:55.785–22:58.327
to advanced AI may slowly fall behind.
先進 AI 的國家可能會逐漸落後。
22:58.327–23:01.425
The biggest lesson from China is not that every
中國帶來的最大教訓不是每個
23:01.425–23:05.763
country should copy China's political system or its exact strategy.
國家都應該複製中國的政治體系或具體策略。
23:05.763–23:06.885
The lesson is that
教訓是
23:06.885–23:13.165
a country that depends completely on foreign AI will always be vulnerable to foreign decisions.
一個完全依賴外國 AI 的國家,將始終容易受到外國決策的影響。
23:13.165–23:18.325
India and other countries need to build enough of their own AI ecosystem so they are not
印度和其他國家需要建立足夠的自有 AI 生態系統,以免
23:18.325–23:21.285
trapped between the US and China.
陷入美中兩強之間的夾縫
23:21.285–23:25.107
Because the next major geopolitical blockade may not stop oil,
因為下一個主要的地緣政治封鎖可能不會阻斷石油
23:25.107–23:26.765
weapons or physical goods,
武器或實體商品
23:26.765–23:29.425
it may stop access to intelligence itself.
它可能會阻斷對情報本身的存取
23:29.425–23:32.968
And second, AI leadership is not about one great chatbot,
其次,AI領導力並非在於擁有一個出色的聊天機器人
23:32.968–23:34.665
it's about creating a whole
重點在於打造整個生態系
23:34.665–23:35.665
ecosystem.
生態系
23:35.665–23:40.025
When people talk about the AI race, they usually compare models.
當人們討論人工智慧競賽時,通常比較的是模型
23:40.025–23:41.785
Is ChatGPT better?
ChatGPT 比較厲害嗎?
23:41.785–23:43.105
Is DeepSeek better?
DeepSeek 比較厲害嗎
23:43.105–23:46.009
which model scores higher on a benchmark. But
哪個模型在基準測試中得分更高。但
23:46.009–23:48.225
a model is only the visible part of a
模型只是龐大系統中可見的一小部分
23:48.225–23:52.129
much larger system. To build strong AI, a country also
更龐大的系統。要打造強大的 AI,一個國家也
23:52.129–23:54.905
needs chips to perform calculations,
需要晶片來執行運算
23:54.905–23:57.161
electricity to power those chips, and
供電給這些晶片所需的電力,以及
23:57.161–24:00.545
data centers to keep them running. It needs universities
資料中心來維持它們的運作,它需要大學
24:00.545–24:04.322
to train engineers, research labs to invent new techniques,
培訓工程師的大學、研發新技術的研究實驗室
24:04.322–24:06.025
cloud companies to provide
雲端公司來提供
24:06.025–24:11.046
computing power, and businesses that can turn AI into useful products.
運算能力,以及能將人工智慧轉化為實用產品的企業
24:11.046–24:12.385
China worked on all
中國同時致力於這些領域
24:12.385–24:15.245
these areas at the same time. So now, if Europe,
這些領域同時進行。因此,如果歐洲、
24:15.245–24:17.885
India and other developing countries want
印度和其他發展中國家想要
24:17.885–24:20.920
to secure their futures, they need to step up and
為了確保自身未來,他們必須積極行動並
24:20.920–24:22.665
build such ecosystems too.
也必須建立這樣的生態系統。
24:22.665–24:25.632
That was all about why China is winning the AI race and
這就是為什麼中國在人工智慧競賽中勝出的原因,以及
24:25.632–24:27.385
what we can learn from them. For
我們可以從他們身上學到什麼。為
24:27.385–24:30.804
more case studies that help you understand where AI is going,
更多案例研究,幫助你了解 AI 的發展方向
24:30.804–24:32.145
who is gaining power and
誰正在獲得權力
24:32.145–24:34.552
where the next major opportunities will emerge,
以及未來重大機會將出現在哪裡
24:34.552–24:36.725
subscribe to the channel and watch the video
訂閱頻道並觀看影片
24:36.725–24:38.356
on your screen next because
接下來螢幕上會出現
24:38.356–24:42.185
it explains another major shift happening in AI that most people
它解釋了另一個大多數人尚未察覺的重大 AI 轉變
24:42.185–24:43.745
are still completely missing.
卻完全沒注意到
24:43.745–24:44.385
I'll see you there.
我們那裡見